New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday September 25, 2021

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +210, Brewers -260; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +170, Brewers -200; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets NL, Brewers NL; Over/Under:  NL runs

 

New York Mets:  73-79 (3rd place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  91-62 (1st place, NL Central)

 

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New York Mets:  2-8 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  3-7 last 10

 

 

 

The Mets are coming into this game after losing in their series finale with the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. They were swept by them in a two-game series and they have also lost 7 of their last 8 games including getting swept by the St. Louis Cardinals, with their only win coming against the Philadelphia Phillies during that time. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series against the Brewers with the series opener being on Friday, that result is still pending. They had Thursday off as a rest day as well. Tylor Megill will be getting the nod for Friday's game while Rich Hill will be the starting pitcher on the mound for this game on Saturday. He is 6-7 with a 3.87 ERA this season. He has been credited with 5 straight losses going back to his days on the Tampa Bay Rays and the Mets have actually lost 5 of their last 7 games when he was on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 4.2 IP against the Phillies last Sunday. This will be his first time seeing the Brewers lineup this season. Their offense has scored 17 runs in their last 5 games averaging over 3 runs scored per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 29 runs against them in that same span allowing almost 6 runs per game.

 

The Brewers are coming into this game after losing their series finale against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. They are now on a 5 game losing streak after getting swept by the Cardinals in a four-game series against them. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series with the Mets with the result of Friday's game still pending as it has not been played yet. Eric Lauer will be the starter for them on Friday while Corbin Burnes will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Saturday. He is 10-4 with a 2.34 ERA this season. He has been credited with 8 straight wins himself while his team has won their last 11 games when he was the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 of them being a HR, and 3 BB with 11 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings of work against the Chicago Cubs last Saturday. He has faced the Mets lineup once this season and it was a no-decision as he allowed just the 1 run but his team still went on to lose that game. Their offense has scored 10 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 2 runs scored per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 25 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 6 runs per game. 

 

The Mets have been playing in very bad form recently and they are in a massive slump that has pretty much tanked any chances they had of making it to the postseason. The Brewers have already clinched a spot but they will need to start heating up and getting into playoff form as they have also hit a slump themselves. They must be angry after blowing a 5-0 lead to the Cardinals and losing that one 8-5 in their series finale so they will be taking it out on the Mets in this series. Their bats are going to wake up at some point with the regular season winding down so the best bet to make in this game is on the Brewers run line.

 

Mets Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday September 25, 2021 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 5 Mets 2.

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New York Mets: 73-79 (-20.8 units) on the money line in all games. 42-55 (-23.7 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Milwaukee Brewers: 64-34 (+18 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5. 91-62 (+7.5 units) on the money line in all games.

 

 

New York Mets:  C. Carrasco (SP) Prob Sat - Thumb injury. N. Syndergaard (SP) Early Oct - Elbow injury. R. Gsellman (RP) Early Oct - Back injury.

Milwaukee Brewers:  D. Williams (RP) Ques Fri - Calf  injury. A. Perdomo (RP) out for season - Back  injury. R. Tellez (1B) Out indefinitely - Knee  injury.

 

 

New York Mets: Pete Alonso is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in hits, home runs, and in RBI. He is a big part of this offense so look for him to get some hits here and bring in some runs for his team.

 

Milwaukee Brewers: Adolis Garcia is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in homers and in RBI. With the playoffs around the corner he will need to start heating up now so look for him to start getting hot so he can carry that form into the playoffs.

 

"Physically, I felt fine. Just command, it took off and wasn't able to make a pitch to get out of the second inning." - Brett Anderson on his bad game pitching in their 10-2 loss to the Cardinals. 

 

 

 

"I knew two runs weren't going to do it. We had a pretty good chance there." - Luis Rojas after losing 6-3 to the Red Sox on Tuesday.

 

 

B. Nimmo CF

P. Alonso 1B

F. Lindor SS

J. Baez 2B

J.D. Davis DH

J. Villar 3B

J. McNeil LF

K. Pillar RF

J. McCann C

 

K. Wong 2B

W. Adames SS

C. Yelich LF

E. Escobar 1B

L. Urias 3B

T. Taylor RF

L. Cain CF

M. Pina C

A. Houser P

 

Batting Average:  B. Nimmo (.299)

Hits:  P. Alonso (136)

Home Runs:  P. Alonso (35)

RBI:  P. Alonso (89)

Stolen Bases:  J. Baez (18)

Wins:  M. Stroman (9)

Saves:  E. Diaz (30)

ERA:  A. Loup (1.00)

 

Batting Average:  O. Narvaez (.277)

Hits:  E. Escobar (128)

Home Runs:  A. Garcia (29)

RBI:  A. Garcia (84)

Stolen Bases:  L. Cain (12)

Wins:  B. Suter (12)

Saves:  J. Hader (33)

ERA:  J. Hader (1.34)

 

Managers:

New York Mets: Luis Rojas (2nd season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)

 

66 degrees F mostly sunny, 48% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 16 mph wind speeds E.