New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/13/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, January 13, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pelicans -1, Mavericks +1; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pelicans -1, Mavericks +1; Over/Under:  233.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pelicans -1, Mavericks +1; Over/Under:  233.5 points

New Orleans Pelicans:  23-15 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  23-16 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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New Orleans Pelicans:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Pelicans are entering this game with a 23-15 record overall and they are 11-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Denver Nuggets still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Warriors, Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in points in that game with 21 while Zion Williamson was next on the team with 19 points. CJ McCollum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 57.4% from the field, 47.5% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.4 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 22-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-19-1.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 23-16 record overall and they are 12-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Knicks in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 44 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 32 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Dwight Powell led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50% from the field, 41.5% from 3-point range, and 76.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 22-17 this season and their O/U record is 22-16-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 23-16 record overall which has them climbing the standings in the West right now. They are only 12-8 in their home games this season but they just snapped the Knicks win streak in their last game and they did it without Doncic in the lineup too so they will have some momentum coming into this one. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have also looked good in their games this season with their 23-15 record overall and they are also 11-7 in their road games this season. The Pelicans have looked really good in their games lately too but now they are dealing with some injuries to their starters and they are also in a terrible situation for this game. The Pelicans are playing this game on a back-to-back and they have to travel to Dallas after their game in Denver on Friday night. The Nuggets haven't looked great lately but they are still the defending champions of the NBA so the Pelicans are going to bring a good effort to try and beat them and they will be more fatigued for this game the next night. The Mavericks looked good in their last game without Doncic and they have the talent to take advantage of this banged up Pelicans team in this bad situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Pelicans Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 13, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 123 Pelicans 116.

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New Orleans Pelicans: 12-7 ATS as an underdog. 8-3 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. 31-15 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 26-12 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 

Dallas Mavericks: 5-11 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 14-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 24-17 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 8-4 UNDER revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

New Orleans Pelicans:  T. Murphy III (SF) Ques Fri - Knee. Z. Williamson (PF) Ques Fri - Quadricep. C. McCollum (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. B. Ingram (SF) Ques Fri - Achilles. M. Ryan (SF) Mid Feb - Elbow.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Exum (PG) Out indefinitely - Heel. D. Lively II (C) Ques Sat - Ankle. L. Doncic (SF) Ques Sat - Ankle. M. Kleber (PF) Late Jan - Toe.

“We're blessed and grateful to have two games like that where we start off dominating. It's hard to do against two teams that move and shoot the ball the way they do…. Credit to Jarron Collins and Coach JB who worked on this scout tonight and we really worked on it in practice, we worked on it in film, and the guys went out and executed the game plan.” - Willie Green after his team’s win against the Warriors in their game on Wednesday.

“To come up with the three offensive rebounds at that point was huge. And then for Josh to get another shot at it. There was no hesitation when the ball found him.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Thursday.

PG CJ McCollum

SG Brandon Ingram

SF Herbert Jones

PF Zion Williamson

C Jonas Valanciunas

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Josh Green

PF Derrick Jones Jr.

C Dwight Powell

PPG: B. Ingram (22)

APG: B. Ingram (5.4)

Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (9.7)

PPG: L. Doncic (33.6)

APG: L. Doncic (9.1)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.1)

Coaches:

New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (3rd season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)