by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Sunday, Jan 30, 2022
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Monday, January 31, 2022
Venue: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNM +13.5, SDSU -13.5; Over/Under: 135.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNM NL, SDSU NL; Over/Under: NL points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNM +13.5, SDSU -13.5; Over/Under: 135.5 points
Season Record
New Mexico Lobos: 8-13 (10th place, MWC)
San Diego State Aztecs: 11-5 (4th place, MWC)
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New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
New Mexico Lobos: 1-4 last 5
San Diego State Aztecs: 3-2 last 5
New Mexico Lobos Analysis
UNM is coming into this game with an 8-13 record overall and they are 1-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 9th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-7 in their conference games this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games but they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 7 game losing streak that they were on. Their 7 losses in that span were against the Nevada Wolf Pack, the Utah State Aggies, the UNLV Rebels, the Boise State Broncos, the Colorado State Rams, the Wyoming Cowboys, and the Fresno State Bulldogs while their win came against the San Jose State Spartans in their last game. Jamal Mashburn Jr. led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jay Allen-Tovar and Jaelen House were both next on the team with 18 points each. House led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Javonte Johnson led the team in rebounds with 8. They are 44% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 77.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.8 PPG against them. UNM has an ATS record of 13-5-2 this season and their O/U record is 12-8.
San Diego State Aztecs Analysis
SDSU is coming into this game with an 11-5 record overall and they are 8-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 3-2 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the UNLV Rebels while their 2 losses in that span came against the Boise State Broncos and the Utah State Aggies in their last game. Matt Bradley led the team in points in that game with 19 while Chad Baker was next on the team off the bench with 15 points. Bradley and Lamont Butler both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Bradley also led the team in rebounds with 6. They are 42.3% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 65.8% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 64.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 57.4 PPG against them. SDSU has an ATS record of 8-8 this season and their O/U record is 5-11.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction
UNM is coming into this game as a 13.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNM has been playing much better in their recent games coming off of a win in their last one and they have been keeping their losses close recently. SDSU has been struggling against their conference opponents recently losing 2 of their last 3 games and UNM should be able to keep this game close as they have been playing much better recently. The best bet to place in this game is on UNM to cover the spread here.
New Mexico San Diego State Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, January 31, 2022 (10:00 pm ET start time) is SDSU 67 UNM 60.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
New Mexico Lobos: 13-5 ATS in all games. 5-1 ATS in road games. 6-1 ATS against conference opponents. 6-1 ATS in January games. 6-1 ATS after a conference game. 28-14 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better.
San Diego State Aztecs: 5-11 O/U in all games. 92-139 O/U in all home games. 4-7 O/U after 2 or more consecutive overs. 4-8 O/U after playing a game as favorite.
Key Injuries
New Mexico Lobos: E. Kuac (G) out for season - Leg injury. V. Manuel (F) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
San Diego State Aztecs: J. Tomaic (F) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Seiko (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Ledee (F) out for season - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
“For Year 1, with kind of where our roster’s at without a true low post threat, I think the offense has been pretty good. It’s the defense that’s the issue.” - Richard Pitino on his team’s performance this season so far.
“It was an old school college basketball game. Defense was at a premium, rebounding was a necessity.” - Brian Dutcher on his team’s loss against BSU.
Starting Lineups
New Mexico Lobos
J. House
J. Johnson
J. Mashburn
G. Muscadin
T. Todd
San Diego State Aztecs
M. Bradley
L. Butler
K. Johnson
N. Mensah
T. Pulliam
Statistical Leaders
New Mexico Lobos
PPG: J. Mashburn Jr. (18)
APG: J. House (5.2)
Reb/G: G. Muscadin (5.3)
San Diego State Aztecs
PPG: M. Bradley (16.1)
APG: T. Pulliam (3.3)
RPG: N. Mensah (7.4)
Coaches:
New Mexico Lobos: Richard Pitino (1st season)
San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
