Mississippi Rebels vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/25/2025

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 25, 2025

Venue:  Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO 

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +3, Mizzou -3; Over/Under:  144 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +3, Mizzou -3; Over/Under:  144 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +2.5, Mizzou -2.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Mississippi Rebels:  15-4 (4-2) (6th place, SEC)

Missouri Tigers:  15-4 (4-2) (5th place, SEC)

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Mississippi Rebels:  3-2  last 5

Missouri Tigers:  4-1  last 5

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 15-4 record overall, a 4-2 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Sean Pedulla led the team in points per game in that game with 16 while Jaylen Murray and Malik Dia each were next on the team with 12. Jaylen Murray led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jaemyn Brakefield led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 36.9% from the field, 31.4% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.5 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 12-6-1 this season and their O/U record is 7-12.

Missouri is entering this game with a 15-4 record overall, a 4-2 conference record, and they are 14-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Tamar Bates led the team in points in that game with 10 while Anthony Robinson II and Trent Pierce each were next on the team with 8. Tony Perkins led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Mark Mitchell and Caleb Grill each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 31.3% from the field, 18.2% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 10-9 this season and their O/U record is 9-10.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked really good in their games this season with their 15-4 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked really good in their games this season with their 15-4 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have been a good road team so far with their 3-2 road record too. Chris Beard has done a great job turning this program around in 2 years and they were one of the hottest teams to start conference play this season, but they have lost some of their momentum now. They are coming off a tight home loss by 1 point to Texas A&M in their last one and they have now lost 2 games in a row with a loss to their rival Mississippi State too. They need to get themselves back on track with an easy win, but they are not going to get that here against another ranked opponent on the road. Missouri is also coming off a loss in their last one, but they played a really tight game on the road against Texas and will be looking to bounce back on their home court where they have been so good. Both teams have pulled off some impressive wins this season, but Missouri has the better chance of bouncing back at home here as they have been rolling conference opponents at home this season and they are catching Ole Miss in a bit of a slump. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 25, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Missouri 74 Ole Miss 68.

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Mississippi Rebels: 12-6 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less. 6-3 ATS in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 8-4 OVER off a home loss against a conference rival. 13-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 

Missouri Tigers: 18-32 ATS in all home games. 4-11 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 8-17 ATS after playing a road game. 28-19 1H OVER in all home games. 24-18 1H OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.

Mississippi Rebels:  None.

Missouri Tigers:  T. Burns (C) Questionable - Foot.

"It's a long season. There are 18 SEC games this season, and tonight was No. 6. There's lots of lessons each game, whether you win or lose. It's back to work tomorrow. We're a fighter program. We're a fighter mentality. We're not going to play the 'victim card.' We have nobody to blame but ourselves for this." - Chris Beard after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

“Another great SEC basketball game. I thought coach [Rodney] Terry did a great job. His players did a great job. Every category top to bottom was pretty much similar. And the only difference was the second-chance points where it was [Texas] 20 to [Missouri] 4.” - Dennis Gates after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game. 

D. Davis 

M. Dia 

J. Murray 

M. Murrell 

S. Pedulla

T. Bates 

J. Gray 

M. Mitchell 

T. Perkins 

A. Robinson

PPG: S. Pedulla (14.3)

APG: J. Murray (4.1)

Reb/G: M. Dia (6.1)

PPG: M. Mitchell (13.4)

APG: A. Robinson (3.6)

Reb/G: M. Mitchell (5)

Coaches:

Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)

Missouri Tigers: Dennis Gates (3rd season)