Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/29/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Wild +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Wild +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Wild +145, Leafs -175; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Minnesota Wild:  29-17-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  30-18-2 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Minnesota Wild:  4-6-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-5-0 last 10

The Wild are entering this game with 62 points, a 29-17-4 record overall, and they are 18-5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Blackhawks in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-2. Marcus Foligno, Joel Eriksson Ek, Frédérick Gaudreau, and Jared Spurgeon each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Boldy led the team in assists with 3 while Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Filip Gustavsson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 20 shots with 18 saves and a .900 save percentage. Their offense has scored 148 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 145 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 62 points, a 30-18-2 record overall, and they are 19-10-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, losing that one on the road 2-1. Bobby McMann scored 1 goal for them in that one. Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Mitchell Marner each led the team in assists with 1 while Bobby McMann led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 23 shots with 21 saves and a .913 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 154 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 144 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Wild listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Wild have looked really good in their games this season with their 29-17-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the West. They have also looked better in their road games this year with their 18-5-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 30-18-2 record overall which has them leading their division in the East. They have looked good on home ice too with their 19-10-0 home record, but they haven't looked great in their games lately. They are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a tight loss to the Senators in their last one. They have had a lot of trouble scoring goals in their games lately too. The Wild haven't been any better as they are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games, but they are coming off a road win over the Blackhawks in their last one so they have some momentum on their side. The Wild have also been scoring goals lately and that will be a key part in this game since the Maple Leafs have been in a scoring drought lately. The Wild have the offense to keep up with the Maple Leafs in this game and they have been a better road team this season anyway. The best way to place a bet here is on the Wild to win this game. 

Wild Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, January 29, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Wild 3 Leafs 2.

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Minnesota Wild: 27-47 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 7-12 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline off a road win against a division rival. 45-62 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 23-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 34-23 UNDER off a road win.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 15-4 (+10.3 units) on the moneyline off a road loss against a division rival. 17-10 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 63-47 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 33-24 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 5-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 5.5.

Minnesota Wild:  J. Brodin (D) Out - Lower Body. M. Johansson (C) Out - Upper Body. T. Grosenick (G) Out For Season - Knee.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Knies (LW) Day To Day - Upper-body. C. Dewar (C) Out - Upper Body. A. Stolarz (G) Out - Knee. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Upper Body. J. Tavares (C) Out - Lower-Body. C. Jarnkrok (C) Out - Groin. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.

“When I say we play perimeter on offense, your work ethic isn’t hard enough. Right now the last two games we don’t wanna fight for inside ice. We wanna extra pass, we don’t wanna trigger, we don’t wanna re-hunt rebounds, we don’t wanna get to the net front.” - John Hynes after his team’s loss against the Flames in their game on Saturday.

“They are all skating back at the rink right now, [Tavares] included. They skated already — JT, Knies, Pacioretty — with our goalies back there. I don’t believe Dewar was on the ice today. Quillan was off (the ice), too.” - Criag Berube on the injuries they are dealing with.

LW Kirill Kaprizov

C Joel Eriksson Ek

RW Mats Zuccarello

LD Jacob Middleton

RD Brock Faber

G Filip Gustavsson

LW Bobby McMann

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Jake McCabe

G Joseph Woll

Points: K. Kaprizov (52)

Goals: K. Kaprizov (23)

Assists: K. Kaprizov (29)

GAA: F. Gustavsson (2.61)

Points: M. Marner (68)

Goals: W. Nylander (28)

Assists: M. Marner (53)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.15)

Coaches:

Minnesota Wild: John Hynes (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)