Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, July 14, 2024

Venue:  Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Giants -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Giants -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Giants -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  53-41 (2nd place, AL Central)

San Francisco Giants:  46-49 (4th place, NL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

San Francisco Giants:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-41 record overall and have a road record of 26-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Giants on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Twins lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Paddack is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-3 with a 5.18 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Giants are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-49 record overall and have a home record of 27-21. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Giants won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Rookie pitcher Hayden Birdsong is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-3 with a 7.85 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 1 hit through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 53-41 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, trailing right behind the Guardians in 1st place. They are 26-23 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-49 record overall which has them out of the playoff race. They have looked better in their home games though, going 27-21 in their home games this year. The Giants took the 1st game of this series with a big win, but the Twins are still the hotter team here with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The Giants are only 5-5 in their last 10 games since they haven't looked great lately, losing their last series at home to the struggling Blue Jays, and the Twins do have the more favorable pitching matchup here too. Paddack is on the mound for the Twins and he hasn't looked great this year with his 5-3 record and his 5.18 ERA, but the team is finding ways to win games with him and he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. They have won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start too. The Giants are going with Snell in this one and he has been terrible this season. He is 0-3 with a 7.85 ERA and has done nothing but struggle in his starts. He did pitch well in his last start since he gave up no runs and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but this just hasn't been his year and the Twins have one of the best offenses in the MLB with the way they have been putting up runs lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Giants Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 14, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Twins 7 Giants 5.

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Minnesota Twins: 47-28 (+9.85 units) on the moneyline in their last 75 games. 12-7 (+7.95 units) on the runline in their last 19 games. 17-10 to the over in their last 27 games. 

San Francisco Giants: 44-49 (-9.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 93 games. 18-22 (-7.40 units) on the runline in their last 40 games. 34-22 to the over in their last 56 games. 

Minnesota Twins:  J. Miranda (3B) Out Sat - Back. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Martin (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

San Francisco Giants:  W. Flores (1B) Prob Sat - Knee. K. Winn (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Lee (CF) out of season - Shoulder. T. Murphy (C) Mid June - Knee. T. Beck (SP) Late July - Arm. A. Cobb (SP) Late July - Hip. A. Warren (RP) Mid July - Elbow. E. Small (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Ray (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

“Don't get to go as deep into a game because of that, and I just gassed out a little quicker.” - Joe Ryan after their loss against the Giants in their game on Friday.

“It was the fastball quality at the top of the zone and mixing his changeup and his breaking ball in — and throwing some for strikes too.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Friday.

M Margot (R) LF

C Correa (R) SS

C Santana (S) 1B

B Buxton (R) CF

W Castro (S) 2B

R Jeffers (R) C

B Lee (S) 3B

M Wallner (L) RF

C Vázquez (R) DH

J Soler (R) DH

L Wade Jr. (L) 1B

H Ramos (R) CF

P Bailey (S) C

M Chapman (R) 3B

M Conforto (L) LF

T Estrada (R) 2B

M Yastrzemski (L) RF

B Wisely (L) SS

Batting Average:  Brooks Lee (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (88)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Pablo López (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (14)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Marco Luciano (.375)

Hits:  Matt Chapman (84)

Home Runs:  Heliot Ramos (14)

RBI:  Heliot Ramos (45)

Stolen Bases:  Matt Chapman (9)

Wins:  Logan Webb (7)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (17)

ERA:  Taylor Rogers (1.93)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)