Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 12, 2024
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024
Venue:  Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Giants -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Giants -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Giants -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  53-40 (2nd place, AL Central)
San Francisco Giants:  45-49 (4th place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10
San Francisco Giants:  5-5 last 10



Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Preview and Analysis


The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-40 record overall and have a road record of 26-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Joe Ryan is their starting pitcher on Friday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Giants are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-49 record overall and have a home record of 26-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Kyle Harrison is their starting pitcher on Friday while Hayden Birdsong is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-0 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.


Twins vs Giants Prediction

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 53-40 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, trailing right behind the Guardians in 1st place. They are 26-22 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-49 record overall which has them out of the playoff race. They have looked better in their home games though, going 26-21 in their home games this year. The Giants just lost a series at home to the struggling Blue Jays and they haven't looked great lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Twins have been the much hotter team lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have the better pitching matchup too. Woods Richardson is on the mound for the Twins and he has been reliable this season with his 3-1 record and his 3.48 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting. The Bullpen has also been pitching well and the Twins are on a roll right now to catch the Guardians in 1st place. The Giants have struggled all season, now 4th in their division, and it won't help that they are going with rookie Birdsong in this one. He is 1-0 with a 4.40 ERA and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but the Twins have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now and they have been hitting the ball well lately. He won't be able to keep the Twins from scoring and the Giants bullpen has also been terrible lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Giants Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Twins 6 Giants 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Minnesota Twins: 46-28 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline in their last 74 games. 11-7 (+6.95 units) on the runline in their last 18 games. 18-9 to the over in their last 27 games. 

San Francisco Giants: 44-48 (-8.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 92 games. 18-21 (-6.40 units) on the runline in their last 39 games. 35-19 to the over in their last 54 games. 

Key Injuries


Minnesota Twins:  A. Martin (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

San Francisco Giants:  W. Flores (1B) Que Fri - Knee. J. Soler (DH) Que Fri - Illness. L. Wade Jr. (1B) Que Fri - Hamstring. K. Winn (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Lee (CF) out of season - Shoulder. T. Murphy (C) Mid June - Knee. T. Beck (SP) Late July - Arm. A. Cobb (SP) Late May - Hip. A. Warren (RP) Mid July - Elbow. E. Small (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Ray (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We have a lot of great hitters who get it done on a daily basis. I feel like it’s a different guy everyday hitting a home run.” - Carlos Correa after their double-header against the White Sox on Wednesday.


“Just wasn’t great overall. Not my best performance. ... I feel like four groundballs got through, besides the two homers. Those are big obviously, but just the groundballs getting through. It's unfortunate, but keep battling." - Jordan Hicks after their loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Thursday. 


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Twins
B Lee (S) 3B
C Correa (R) SS
M Kepler (L) RF
J Miranda (R) DH
B Buxton (R) CF
M Wallner (L) LF
R Jeffers (R) C
C Santana (S) 1B
K Farmer (R) 2B

San Francisco Giants
J Soler (R) DH
P Bailey (S) C
H Ramos (R) CF
M Conforto (L) LF
M Chapman (R) 3B
M Yastrzemski (L) RF
W Flores (R) 1B
T Estrada (R) 2B
B Wisely (L) SS

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Brooks Lee (.364)
Hits:  Willi Castro (88)
Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)
RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)
Wins:  Pablo López (8)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (14)
ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

San Francisco Giants
Batting Average:  Marco Luciano (.375)
Hits:  Matt Chapman (84)
Home Runs:  Heliot Ramos (14)
RBI:  Heliot Ramos (45)
Stolen Bases:  Matt Chapman (9)
Wins:  Logan Webb (7)
Saves:  Camilo Doval (17)
ERA:  Taylor Rogers (1.93)

Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)
San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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