Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/09/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, June 9, 2024

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -112, Pirates -108; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Pirates -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Pirates -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  33-30 (3rd place, AL Central)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  30-33 (5th place, NL Central)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-30 record overall and have a road record of 17-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Twins lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .695 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-4 with a 4.95 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 2 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-33 record overall and have a home record of 15-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Pirates won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .660 OPS. Carmen Mlodzinski is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Jared Jones is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-5 with a 3.25 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season with their 30-33 record overall and their 15-16 home record which has them at the bottom of the NL Central. The Pirates were leading the NL Central in the 1st month of the season but they have fallen off a lot since then. Now they are getting hot again with their offense picking up, and they are going to have some momentum from their series win against the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 33-30 record overall and their 17-17 road record, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AL Central and not really in the race for the division. They haven't looked good at all in their games lately either, getting swept by the Yankees in their last series and losing the 1st game of this one. They have Ober starting in this game, but he really hasn't been that great with his 5-4 record and his 4.95 ERA. He also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which will be trouble since the Twins offense hasn't been producing runs lately. The Pirates are going with their rookie Jones in this game but he has looked good this season. He is also 4-5 but with a 3.25 ERA and coming off another great start which he allowed no runs in. The Pirates have some momentum on their side right now along with the better pitching matchup here and they should be able to take advantage of the Twins at home while the Twins are in a mini slump. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

Twins Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 9, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Pirates 4 Twins 1.

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Minnesota Twins: 201-192 (-25 units) on the moneyline in all games. 80-87 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 90-108 (-21.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 22-10 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 25-18 UNDER against right-handed starters. BAILEY OBER is 9-1 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 19-17 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 4-2 (+3.1 units) on the moneyline in June games. 13-12 (+2.8 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. JARED JONES is 4-2 UNDER in home games and 4-2 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins:  E. Rodriguez (CF) Out indefinitely - Thumb.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  Q. Priester (RP) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. J. Bae (SS) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. A. Williams (SS) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Bart (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb. M. Perez (SP) Mid June - Groin. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.

“Against a lineup as deep as this one, you’re just giving them fuel. The offense kept battling. I just like kept digging them in a deeper hole inning after inning. That’s exactly what I should not be doing, and it’s on me.” - Pablo Lopez after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Thursday.

“Any time a guy hits a ball that high, that far, you definitely step back. We know when Oneil’s in the right spot mechanically, he has the ability to really impact the baseball, and we’ve seen that the last two nights.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Friday.

Trevor Larnach (L) LF

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Jose Miranda (R) DH

Byron Buxton (R) CF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Willi Castro (S) 2B

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Bryan Reynolds (S) LF

Connor Joe (R) RF

Oneil Cruz (L) SS

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Nick Gonzales (R) 2B

Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B

Yasmani Grandal (S) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.364)

Hits:  Willi Castro (53)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (12)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (36)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (7)

Wins:  Pablo López (5)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (10)

ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Nick Gonzales (.308)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (66)

Home Runs:  Oneil Cruz (9)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (34)

Stolen Bases:  Jack Suwinski (5)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (13)

ERA:  Justin Bruihl (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)