Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 03, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, June 4, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Yankees -166; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  33-26 (3rd place, AL Central)
New York Yankees:  42-19 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10



Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-26 record overall and have a road record of 17-13. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-3 with a 4.89 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 9 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-19 record overall and have a home record of 18-8. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Nestor Cortes Jr. was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-1 with a 1.99 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 2 hits through 8 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.


Twins vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 42-19 record overall which is one of the best in the entire MLB right now. They have also looked great in their home games with their 18-8 home record. The Twins have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-26 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of their own division. They are 17-13 in their road games this season, but they don't have the offense that the Yankees have with all of that money the Yankees spent in the off-season and they haven't been as hot coming into this one. The Twins are coming off a win and won their last series, but the Yankees are coming off a sweep and have a lot of momentum on their side with their win streak. They also have Gil starting in this game and he has been one of their best starters all season with 7 wins and an ERA below 2.00. Meanwhile, Ober is starting for the Twins in this game and he hasn't been bad this season, but he has still been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He does have 5 wins this year, but he also has 3 losses and with the way he has been giving up runs in his starts, he will get himself into trouble here against this Yankees lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.

Twins Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 4, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Minnesota Twins: 201-188 (-20.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 48-87 (-25.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 90-104 (-17.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 14-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 35-17 UNDER revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less. 8-4 UNDER against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees: 42-19 (+16.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-13 (+10 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 11-1 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 12-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more. 5-0 UNDER after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games. 23-16 UNDER after a win.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Twins:  C. Culpepper (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. De Andrade (SS) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Late May - Quadricep. Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

New York Yankees:  C. Schmidt (SP) Mid June - Lower Body. I. Hamilton (RP) Ques Thurs - Illness. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. J. Dominguez (CF) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.


Notable Quotes


“He’s really done so many different things in the lineup for us. He just plays. He doesn’t get distracted, he doesn’t get caught up in any anything. He’s just ready to play baseball and he’s done a nice job.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.


“That’s some savage at-bats right there. Just wow. To get on a pitch like he hit off of Snell to start out … then bookends the day with another homer off Doval. Pretty good day to homer.” - Aaron Boone on Juan Soto after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Twins
Trevor Larnach (L) LF
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Jose Miranda (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Willi Castro (S) SS
Alex Kirilloff (L) DH
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Edouard Julien (L) 2B

New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Jose Trevino (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (1.000)
Hits:  Willi Castro (52)
Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (12)
RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (36)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (7)
Wins:  Pablo López (5)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (10)
ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Juan Soto (75)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (21)
RBI:  Juan Soto (53)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (11)
Wins:  Luis Gil (7)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (17)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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