Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/15/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Apr 14, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Friday, April 15, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  11 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  11 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  11 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  2-4 (4th place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  3-3 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  2-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-3 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 2-4 record overall and they are playing their first road game of the season in this game. They are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-0 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday night. Thursday is a rest day for them as they have it off. Chris Paddack was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Joe Ryan will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 2 hits in 4 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging 7 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they will be playing their first home game this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday night. Thursday is a rest day for them as they have it off. Nathan Eovaldi was the starter for them on Wednesday while Nick Pivetta will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA this season. His team lost his first game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings played against the New York Yankees. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox got off to a slow start this season losing their first 2 games to the Yankees and struggling a little in that series but they played much better in their last series against the Tigers and have been starting to heat up in their recent games. The Red Sox have won 2 straight games and they have been scoring a lot with 14 runs in their last 2 games. They are going up against a Twins team that is coming off getting swept in a 2-game series by the Dodgers and coming off of a loss where the opponent's pitcher almost had a perfect game on them. They have only scored 2 runs in their last 2 games and have allowed 14 runs in that span. Neither team has a strong starter on the mound here so there will likely be runs in this game but the Red Sox have been heating up with a few wins now and their bats have been getting hot as well. They are hitting the ball way better right now and they will likely keep on their winning streak here adding another. The Red Sox will win this game in their home opener here.
 
Twins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, April 15, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 5 Twins 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 69-67 (-29.5u) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 111-119 (-27.3u) ML in all games. 21-15 OVER after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span.
Boston Red Sox: 80-63 (+13u) ML against right-handed starters. 41-29 (+10.7u) ML after 2 or more consecutive wins. 17-11 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  A. Kirilloff (RF) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. C. Stashak (RP) Late April - Bicep injury.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Late April - Back injury. C. Sale (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's been pitching like that for years. He's been having a lot of success. So he knows how to do it.' - Gio Urshela on Kershaw after their loss against the Dodgers on Wednesday night.
 
 
"He was middling a lot and when we got him in the zone, we did damage." - Alex Cora on his team’s win against the Tigers on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Jorge Polanco (S) SS
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Max Kepler (L) RF
Miguel Sano (R) 1B
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
Nick Gordon (L) LF
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Trevor Story (R) 2B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.313)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (5)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (3)
RBI:  Gary Sanchez (5)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Dylan Bundy (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rafael Devers (.346)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (9)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (1)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (5)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Garrett Whitlock (1.42)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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