Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/22/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -2, Mavericks +2; Over/Under:  217 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -2, Mavericks +2; Over/Under:  217 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  22-21 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  23-20 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  3-7 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 22-21 record overall this season and they are 12-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Memphis Grizzlies. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 32 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 29 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jaden McDaniels and Julius Randle each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 38.7% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 74.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 17-25-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-22.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 23-20 record overall this season and they are 13-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Charlotte Hornets. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 33 while Daniel Gafford was next on the team with 31 points. Naji Marshall led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 43.2% from the field, 18.8% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 20-22-1 this season and their O/U record is 20-23.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 22-21 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West at the moment. They have not been a great road team this season either, but they still have a winning road record which is 12-11. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 23-20 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but they have looked terrible in their games lately. They have looked better on their home court with their 13-8 home record, but being at home hasn't helped them during this stretch of injuries. They have been missing Luka Doncic for a few weeks and they haven't been able to find their groove without him in the lineup. They are coming off a loss to the Hornets in their last one and they have looked terrible lately, going 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Timberwolves have also been struggling lately with 2 losses in a row, but they are still 5-5 in their last 10 games and those 2 losses were against much stronger teams, losing to the Grizzlies and the Cavaliers. They didn't lose those games in blowouts either so they are going to be looking to bounce back and can take advantage of the Mavericks in their current situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 22, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 120 Mavericks 112.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-9 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 35-25 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 40-27 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 20-13 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 44-23 1H UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Dallas Mavericks: 7-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 12-28 ATS in January games. 26-11 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 21-11 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 27-17 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. DiVincenzo (SG) Day To Day - Toe. T. Shannon (SG) Out - Ankle.

Dallas Mavericks:  Q. Grimes (SG) Day To Day - Back. D. Powell (C) Day To Day - Hip. J. Hardy (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Lively (C) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist. L. Dončić (PG) Out - Calf.

"I was just going with the experience. Put (Conley) in for the defensive stop and just left him in to just manage the game." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

"He has been shooting, but we're still a ways away." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Dante Exum.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: A. Edwards (26.3)

APG: J. Randle (4.5)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.3)

PPG: L. Dončić (28.1)

APG: L. Dončić (7.8)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.3)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)