Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/23/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 22, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, February 23, 2024
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  35-21 (2nd place, Central Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  39-16 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  3-7 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 35-21 record overall and they are 12-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 35 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 24 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Brook Lopez led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.7% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.8 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 21-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-26-1.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 39-16 record overall and they are 19-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 34 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 23 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 51.7% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 92.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.7 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 29-24-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-27-1.


Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-16 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA too. They have looked great on their home court this season with their 19-5 home record and they have a lot of momentum on their side right now with 4 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-21 record overall which has them near the top of the East. They haven't looked good at all in their road games though with their losing 12-14 road record and they have no momentum on their side either with 2 losses in a row going into the All-Star break, losing to the Grizzlies in their last game too. The Bucks were one of the best teams in the East at one point but they have been slipping down the standings lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and they have been terrible since hiring Doc Rivers as their new head coach. The Timberwolves are one of the best teams in the NBA this season and they have looked like it in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 23, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 121 Bucks 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 21-35 ATS in all games. 13-29 ATS as an underdog. 9-17 ATS in road games. 1-6 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 15-7 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-7 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 13-7 ATS after 2 consecutive division games. 8-1 ATS off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals. 8-2 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest. 13-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 9-5 UNDER after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  K. Middleton (SF) - Ankle.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  W. Moore Jr. (SG) - Knee. J. Clark (SG) - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“We had some guys here, and some guys in Cabo (San Lucas).” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Thursday last week.


“It feels like we've been on the road a lot, it really has. But when you play defense, and you're committed to defense and the guys like to play every night, being on the road is not a daunting thing.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Thursday last week.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Jae Crowder 
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Karl-Anthony Towns
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.8)
APG: D. Lillard (6.7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (26.3)
APG: M. Conley (6.4)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.5)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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