Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/09/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, November 9, 2023

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Pacers +3.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Pacers +3.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Pacers +3.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  4-2 (1st place, Central Division)

Indiana Pacers:  4-3 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  4-2 last 6

Indiana Pacers:  4-3 last 7

The Bucks are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the New York Knicks and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game but they are also playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back on Wednesday night with that game against the Detroit Pistons still to be played. In their game against the Nets, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 36 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 21 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 1-4-1 this season and their O/U record is 4-2.

The Pacers are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game but they are also playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back on Wednesday night with that game against the Utah Jazz still to be played. In their game against the Spurs, Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 23 while Obi Toppin and Buddy Hield each were next on the team with 19 points. Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 57.9% from the field, 52.6% from 3-point range, and 95.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 124.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 121.7 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 4-3 this season and their O/U record is 6-1.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks are only 4-2 this season as they have stumbled out of the gate a bit with their new acquisition of Damian Lillard. They are starting to get on a roll now with 2 wins in a row as their starting lineup gains more experience playing together. The Pacers have also been good this season with their 4-3 record overall and they have been better in their home games with their 3-2 home record, but they also struggled against the Celtics losing by over 50 points in their only game this season against a similarly talented opponent like the Bucks. Both of these teams are also playing on a back-to-back here but the Bucks still have a lot more talent and they aren't going to waste the opportunity to continue rolling now that they are figuring things out on the court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, November 9, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 124 Packers 111.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 1-5 ATS in all games. 1-5 ATS as a favorite. 1-5 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 4-2 OVER in all games. 4-2 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 

Indiana Pacers: 20-14 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 29-17 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 21-12 ATS in November games. 6-1 OVER in all games. 29-19 OVER as a home underdog. 38-19 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Milwaukee Bucks:  K. Middleton (SF) Out Wed - Rest.

Indiana Pacers:  None.

“We got stops when we needed. That’s an important thing that we can build on and continue to get better.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Nets in their game on Monday.

“I told Pop after the game that I'm very grateful for him. He was a mentor to me before I got a head coaching job. When I was here as an assistant, I didn't get the job after Larry (Brown) left. Pop called me up and invited me to come down to San Antonio's training camp. ... It was a big confidence-builder for me. He's been wonderful to so many young coaches.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Monday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Pat Connaughton

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Bennedict Mathurin

SF Bruce Brown

PF Obi Toppin

C Myles Turner

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (26)

APG: D. Lillard (5)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (9)

PPG: T. Haliburton (24)

APG: T. Haliburton (11.7)

Reb/G: M. Turner (8.9)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)