Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jan 05, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 6, 2024
Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  Space City Home Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -5, Rockets +5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -5, Rockets +5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -5, Rockets +5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  25-10 (1st place, Central Division)
Houston Rockets:  17-15 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10
Houston Rockets:  4-6 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 25-10 record overall and they are 9-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 44 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 25 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 53.3% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 124.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 15-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 22-13.



The Rockets are entering this game with a 17-15 record overall and they are 14-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Detroit Pistons and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Minnesota Timberwolves still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Nets, Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 30 while Fred VanVleet was next on the team with 21 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jabari Smith Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.7% from the field, 48.7% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 19-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 13-18-1.


Bucks vs Rockets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 25-10 record overall but they are only 9-7 in their road games as they have struggled more in those. They just got by the Spurs on the road the other night but now they are rested and will be looking for a big win as they are still one of the best teams in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Rockets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 17-15 record overall and they have been struggling a lot more in their games lately. They have looked really good in their home games with their 14-5 home record, but they haven't played well in recent weeks as they are banged up and this is also a really bad situation for them. The Rockets are playing this game on a back-to-back so they won't be rested and they have a game against the Timberwolves who are the best in the West right now so they are going to be tired for this game when the Bucks come into town. The Bucks will also be looking for a big road win here after a very close win in San Antonio the other night. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 6, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 127 Rockets 117.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 7-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 4-7 ATS after allowing 120 points or more in 3 straight games. 22-13 OVER in all games. 21-12 OVER as a favorite. 16-8 OVER against Southwest division opponents. 

Houston Rockets: 20-12 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS in home games. 10-5 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 17-7 OVER against Central division opponents. 7-2 OVER in non-conference games.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  J. Crowder (SF) Mid Jan - Groin.

Houston Rockets:  T. Eason (SF) Ques Fri - Leg. D. Brooks (SG) Out indefinitely - Oblique. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“That was a fun game. That was a fun game to coach, a fun game to watch. Two of the most unique, talented big men. I use that (big-man term) loosely because they are very versatile players. Man, that was fun. I thought Wemby was great, I thought Giannis was phenomenal.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Thursday.


“They had 14 points off those 12 (turnovers) in the first half and nine fast break points. We looked at that and said, ‘They scored 50, only, and if we take care of that they’re in the low 30s,' so did a much better job. Only three turnovers in the second half.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Nets in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Houston Rockets
PG Fred VanVleet
SG Jalen Green
SF Jae'Sean Tate
PF Jabari Smith Jr.
C Alperen Sengun

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.1)
APG: D. Lillard (6.8)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.4)

Houston Rockets
PPG: A. Sengun (21.5)
APG: F. VanVleet (8.6)
Reb/G: A. Sengun (9)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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