Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/17/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 17, 2024
Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -4, Cavaliers +4; Over/Under:  238 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -4, Cavaliers +4; Over/Under:  238 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Cavaliers +3.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  28-12 (1st place, Central Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  23-15 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  7-3 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 28-12 record overall and they are 9-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Golden State Warriors, and the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 29 while Giannis Antetokounmpo was next on the team with 27 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis Jr. each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.2% from the field, 46.5% from 3-point range, and 84.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 125 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.9 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 16-23-1 this season and their O/U record is 25-15.



The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 23-15 record overall and they are 14-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards twice in a row, the San Antonio Spurs, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 34 while Caris LeVert was next on the team with 16 points. Donovan Mitchell and Caris LeVert each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 41.1% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 19-17-2 this season and their O/U record is 18-19-1.


Bucks vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked good in their games this season with their 23-15 record overall which has them surging up the standings in the East lately. The Cavaliers didn't get off to a great start this season but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now and they have also looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 14-8 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also looked great in their games this season with their 28-12 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the East right now, right behind the Celtics. The Bucks have also looked great lately as they have been getting hot with 3 wins in a row now. All 3 of those wins were on their home court though and they haven't looked nearly as good in their road games this season with their 9-8 road record. They haven't been terrible in their road games but they have struggled a lot more and this is going to be a tough game for them against a division rival that is starting to get hot now and surge up the standings. The Cavaliers have the potential to pull off an upset win on their home court here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 17, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 124 Bucks 120.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 16-24 ATS in all games. 15-23 ATS as a favorite. 3-8 ATS vs. division opponents. 6-11 ATS after scoring 125 points or more in 3 straight games. 27-18 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 10-3 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive home games.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-4 ATS off a home win. 22-13 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 21-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 27-16 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 23-15 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  J. Crowder (SF) Prob Wed - Groin. K. Middleton (SF) Ques Wed - Knee. C. Livingston (SF) Ques Wed - Illness.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  E. Mobley (C) Late Jan - Knee. D. Garland (PG) Out indefinitely - Jaw. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“It was like we had the game and they stole it from us and we took it back at the end. When they went up six (in overtime) it would have been easy for us to throw in the towel, but those guys are resilient. Probably one of our best wins of the season.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Kings in their game on Sunday.


“They’re a good team, a competitive team, so we knew they were going make a run. And we missed wide-open shots. But the biggest thing is how we responded, and we did it as a group.” - Donovan Mitchell after their win against the Bulls in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Donovan Mitchell 
SG Max Strus
SF Isaac Okoro
PF Dean Wade
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.2)
APG: D. Lillard (6.8)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.4)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (28.1)
APG: D. Garland (5.9)
Reb/G: E. Mobley (10.5)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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