Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/01/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 29, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024
Venue:  United Center, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -4, Bulls +4; Over/Under:  223 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -4, Bulls +4; Over/Under:  223 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -4, Bulls +4; Over/Under:  223 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  38-21 (2nd place, Central Division)
Chicago Bulls:  28-31 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  5-5 last 10
Chicago Bulls:  5-5 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 38-21 record overall and they are 14-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Charlotte Hornets in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with another game against the Charlotte Hornets still to be played on Thursday night. In their 1st game against the Hornets on Tuesday, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 24 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 23 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Damian Lillard led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.7% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 24-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-29-1.



The Bulls are entering this game with a 28-31 record overall and they are 16-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. DeMar DeRozan led the team in points in that game with 35 while Nikola Vucevic was next on the team with 24 points. Coby White led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Andre Drummond led the team in rebounds with 26. They were 40% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range, and 81.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Bulls have an ATS record of 31-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-26-1.


Bucks vs Bulls Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They haven't been at their best in their road games this season but they don't have a losing road record either, going 14-14 in road games this year. Meanwhile, the Bulls haven't looked great in their games this season with their 28-31 record overall, but they are still in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. The East has been a much weaker conference this season which is why the Bulls even have a chance to make the playoffs with this record but they haven't even been a strong home team this year with their 16-14 home record. They have looked better lately as they are coming off a win against the Cavs in their last one, but they are still just 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Bucks are also 5-5 in their last 10 games but they have a lot more momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row and they have also looked a lot better in those wins than they did in their games when Doc Rivers first got to the team. The Bucks are showing signs of improvement now and they are already one of the best teams in the East, they will continue to roll in this game as they look to get hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Bulls Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 132 Bulls 123.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 21-30 ATS as a favorite. 4-12 ATS vs. division opponents. 28-18 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 9-1 UNDER in the second half of the season. 

Chicago Bulls: 6-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 14-2 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 31-17 UNDER vs. division opponents. 10-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive division games.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  M. Beauchamp (SF) Prob Thurs - Illness. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Prob Thurs - Knee. A. Jackson Jr. (SG) Ques Thurs - Illness. K. Middleton (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Chicago Bulls:  A. Caruso (SG) Ques Fri - Hamstring. P. Williams (SF) out for season - Foot. T. Craig (SF) Late March - Knee. Z. LaVine (PG) out for season - Ankle. L. Ball (PG) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“We had time, like six or seven days, to kind of think what this coaching staff and what the team expects from us. Coming back from the break, I think everybody got the opportunity to talk about everybody's role and what the team expects from us so we can keep one another accountable.” - Giannis Antetokounmpo after their win against the Hornets in their game on Tuesday.


“It just speaks to this team, we continue to fight. We gave a good fight. Yesterday, we let our guard down a little bit. We knew what we did wrong. Tonight, we played a team that was very high in the standings and came out ready to play.” - Andre Drummond after their win against the Cavaliers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Jae Crowder 
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Chicago Bulls
PG Coby White
SG Ayo Dosunmu
SF Alex Caruso
PF DeMar DeRozan
C Nikola Vucevic

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.7)
APG: D. Lillard (6.8)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Chicago Bulls
PPG: D. DeRozan (22.9)
APG: D. DeRozan (5.2)
Reb/G: N. Vucevic (10.7)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)
Chicago Bulls: Billy Donovan (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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