Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 5, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +154, Phillies -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +154, Phillies -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +154, Phillies -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  36-24 (1st place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  42-19 (1st place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-24 record overall and have a road record of 18-14. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Brewers lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Ashby is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-19 record overall and have a home record of 25-9. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-2 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6.1 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked good in their games this season with their 36-24 record overall which has them leading the NL Central. They have looked good in their road games with their 18-14 road record and they have looked great in their games lately. The Phillies have also looked really good in their games this season with their 42-19 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are also 25-9 in their home games this year and they are going to have a reliable starter on the mound here. Nola is up for the Phillies in this game and he has been pitching well this year, but the Brewers have also been pitching really well in their games this season so they will be able to keep this game close. The Phillies may be the better team this season, but the Brewers have been just as hot in their games lately and they have both the pitching and the offense to keep this a tight game, especially with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game or on the runline to keep it close. 

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 5, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Phillies 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 3-10 (-4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +175 to +250. 9-12 (-3.4 units) on the moneyline after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more. 35-36 (-7 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 19-10 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more. 8-4 UNDER after scoring 2 runs or less. 6-1 UNDER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against the opponent.

Philadelphia Phillies: 43-19 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 38-15 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 26-9 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 21-11 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more. 13-4 UNDER against NL Central opponents. 6-1 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive unders.

Milwaukee Brewers:  T. Megill (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Junis (SP) Early June - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. G. Mitchell (CF) Early June - Hand. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Ques Tues - Hand. B. Marsh (CF) Out Indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Clemens (2B) Out Indefinitely - Back. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“There definitely were (tears). I have to say that’s a first for me. … I’ve seen it a bunch here. It’s what this fanbase does and will do. I was just overwhelmed with emotion there. I’ll get to tell this story. It was really memorable, for sure.” - Rhys Hoskins after their loss against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

“David can hit. Going into the offseason we talked about depth, and the front office went out and got it because there’s going to be injuries. … It’s a long year. Credit to our player-development system for keeping these guys sharp and get them going. It was great to see.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Monday.

Brice Turang (L) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Willy Adames (R) SS

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Rhys Hoskins (R) DH

Jake Bauers (L) 1B

Joey Ortiz (R) 3B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

David Dahl (L) LF

Edmundo Sosa (R) SS

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Christian Yelich (.313)

Hits:  William Contreras (75)

Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (10)

RBI:  William Contreras (44)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (20)

Wins:  Jared Koenig (5)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (8)

ERA:  Enoli Paredes (0.00)

Batting Average:  David Dahl (.667)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (68)

Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (14)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (49)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (16)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (9)

Saves:  José Alvarado (10)

ERA:  Matt Strahm (0.75)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)