by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Jul 06, 2024
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 7, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: BSWI
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Brewers +150, Dodgers -180; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Brewers +150, Dodgers -180; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Brewers +150, Dodgers -180; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 52-37 (1st place, NL Central)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 54-35 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-37 record overall and have a road record of 25-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Brewers lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Dallas Keuchel is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-35 record overall and have a home record of 27-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Dodgers won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .774 OPS. James Paxton is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He is making his MLB debut in this game.
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 52-37 record overall which leads the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 25-24 road record though. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 54-35 record overall which leads the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB, and they are also 27-18 in their home games. They took the 1st game in this series against the Brewers and will be looking to get back on a winning streak now that their offense is looking better. They are going to have a rookie on the mound here with Wrobleski and he will actually be making his MLB debut in this game. The Brewers don't have a better option though, going with Keuchel in this one, and he is someone who has struggled a lot over the last few years, bouncing around from team to team. He is coming off a start in which he gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings, but he is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA this year and it has been a common theme for him to give up a ton of runs in his starts. Keuchel is just a terrible start waiting to happen and with an offense like the Dodgers have, they are going to put up a ton of runs in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Brewers Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 7, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 11 Brewers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers: 52-38 (+11.40 units) on the moneyline in their last 90 games. 52-38 (+9.55 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 90 games. 51-39 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 90 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 19-24 (-8.10 units) on the runline in their last 43 home games. 25-27 (-10.85 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 52 games. 7-1 to the over in their last 8 games.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: J. Ortiz (3B) - Neck. G. Sánchez (C) - Calf. R. Gasser (SP) - Flexor. O. Dunn (2B) - Back. D. Hall (SP) - Knee. J. Ross (SP) - Back. W. Miley (SP) - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) - Lat. G. Mitchell (CF) - Finger. D. Williams (RP) - Back. T. Clarke (RP) - Meniscus. B. Woodruff (SP) - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Credit to the Dodgers, credit to Freddie. He's done it in the clutch so many times.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Friday.
“Going to right-center field, then to go to left field and then hit one off the foul pole, really impressive. He's just so consistent and he just doesn't get the recognition that he deserves as being one of the top two catchers in the game.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers
B Turang (L) 2B
W Contreras (R) C
C Yelich (L) DH
W Adames (R) SS
G Mitchell (L) CF
R Hoskins (R) 1B
S Frelick (L) RF
J Chourio (R) LF
A Monasterio (R) 3B
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) RF
A Pages (R) CF
M Rojas (R) SS
M Vargas (R) LF
G Lux (L) 2B
C Taylor (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: Eric Haase (.429)
Hits: William Contreras (104)
Home Runs: Willy Adames (13)
RBI: Willy Adames (57)
Stolen Bases: Brice Turang (28)
Wins: Colin Rea (8)
Saves: Trevor Megill (18)
ERA: James Meeker (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.333)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (106)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (27)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (64)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (17)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
