Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/07/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 07, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, June 7, 2024
Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch:  BSDET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Tigers -115; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Tigers -115; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Tigers -115; Over/Under:  NL runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  36-26 (1st place, NL Central)
Detroit Tigers:  31-31 (4th place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10
Detroit Tigers:  6-4 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-26 record overall and have a road record of 18-16. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Aaron Ashby was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 3.74 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Tigers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-31 record overall and have a home record of 14-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .676 OPS. Kenta Maeda was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Reese Olson is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-6 with a 2.48 ERA this season. His team lost 9 of their last 10 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.


Brewers vs Tigers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked good in their games this season with their 36-26 record overall which has them leading the NL Central. They are 18-16 in their road games this season and they have looked good in their games lately. Meanwhile, the Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 31-31 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL Central right now in what is a really competitive division this year. They haven't been that great in their home games either with their 14-15 home record. The Brewers already have a much stronger offense this season which is going to help them out a lot in this game. Olson is starting for the Tigers here and he hasn't pitched that badly this season with his 2.48 ERA, but the team just hasn't been playing for him since he is 1-6 this season. He has also been slipping up lately as he gave up 5 earned runs in his last start. The Brewers are going to have Peralta starting in this game and he is coming off a better start in his last one since he only gave up 3 earned runs. He is 4-3 this season with a 3.74 ERA and he also has a good bullpen to back him up. The Tigers have a good bullpen too, but the Brewers have been pitching just as well lately and their much stronger offense will give them the edge in this game, especially since the Tigers haven't been putting up runs in Olson's starts all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Brewers Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 7, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Tigers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 36-26 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-9 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 58-34 (+23 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 16-8 OVER in an inter-league game. 29-18 OVER against right-handed starters. 6-1 OVER after allowing 3 runs or less in 5 straight games.

Detroit Tigers: 86-105 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 53-74 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline after scoring 2 runs or less. 8-14 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline after 7 or more consecutive road games. 28-19 OVER against right-handed starters. 8-2 OVER after allowing 8 runs or more. 17-8 OVER after a loss.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  None.

Detroit Tigers:  A. Faedo (SP) Out Indefinitely - Hip. K. Maeda (SP) Ques Fri - Upper Body. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s a big part of this. It’s been a long road for him. It’s kind of a big day that he’s back on the hill for us. He didn’t draw an easy straw in his first opponent.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.


“People talk about like getting the monkey off your back. It feels like getting an angry gorilla off your back. I was willing it out of there. Moments after that, it’s kind of like a blackout.” - Justyn-Henry Malloy on his 1st career hit in his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) DH
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Sal Frelick (L) RF
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B
Gary Sánchez (R) C
Blake Perkins (S) CF

Detroit Tigers
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Riley Greene (L) LF
Mark Canha (R) 1B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Colt Keith (L) 2B
Zach McKinstry (L) RF
Justyn-Henry Malloy (R) DH
Javier Báez (R) SS
Jake Rogers (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  William Contreras (.313)
Hits:  William Contreras (78)
Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (10)
RBI:  William Contreras (44)
Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (21)
Wins:  Jared Koenig (5)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (8)
ERA:  Enoli Paredes (0.00)

Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Kerry Carpenter (.283)
Hits:  Riley Greene (55)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (11)
RBI:  Kerry Carpenter (29)
Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (7)
Saves:  Jason Foley (12)
ERA:  Beau Brieske (1.59)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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