by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Saturday, Sep 11, 2021
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 12, 2021
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: BSGL
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Brewers -180, Indians +155; Over/Under: NL runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Brewers -180, Indians +160; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Brewers -175, Indians +145; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 87-55 (1st place, NL Central)
Cleveland Indians: 69-70 (2nd place, AL Central)
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Indians Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers: 7-3 last 10
Cleveland Indians: 4-6 last 10
Offensive Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers are ranked 23 in the league for batting average (.237), 10 in the league for RBI (625), 21 in the league for hits (1114), and they are ranked 13 in the league for OBP (.320). The Cleveland Indians are ranked 22 in the league for batting average (.237), 19 in the league for RBI (589), 26 in the league for hits (1090), and they are ranked 25 in the league for OBP (.305).
Defensive Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers are ranked 3 in the league for ERA (3.42), 7 in the league for saves (39), 2 in the league for strikeouts (1408), and they are ranked 3 in the league for WHIP (1.19). The Cleveland Indians are ranked 16 in the league for ERA (4.35), 12 in the league for saves (37), 16 in the league for strikeouts (1228), and they are ranked 15 in the league for WHIP (1.29).
Brewers vs Indians Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers are taking on the Cleveland Indians in the series finale of their three-game series on Sunday. The 2nd game of this series is still to be played on Saturday with the result pending. The Milwaukee Brewers are now on a 3 game winning streak after winning their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies right before this one. The Indians lost this series opener right after losing their last series against the Minnesota Twins.
The Brewers are coming into this game after winning the series opener against the Indians 10-3 on Friday night. They are currently leading the NL Central division with a sizable lead. Brandon Woodruff will be the starting pitcher on the mound Sunday and he is 9-8 with a 2.48 ERA this season. He has won 2 of his last 3 starts when he has played. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 of those being HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 9 hits through 6 IP. This will be his first time seeing this Indians lineup this season. His team just put up 10 runs against them in a single game and have been rolling hot recently. They have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span. They actually scored 10 runs in 2 of those games. Woodruff has been solid all year but if he does struggle he will have his batters behind him as they are looking to get into playoff form with few games left in the regular season.
The Indians are in a slump currently as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They will have Logan Allen throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Sunday and he is 1-6 with a 6.86 ERA this season. He has made 10 total appearances in games as a starter this season for the Indians and the team has won just twice with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 of those being HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits in 5 innings of work. He has not seen this Brewers lineup this season and this is the worst time as they have started to heat up with their bats looking to get in form for the playoffs. The Indians' offense have managed to put up more than 3 runs in a game on 1 occasion in their last 5 games. They are not the best hitting team out there and they really rely on their pitching so if he goes belly up in this game the hole will be too deep for them to get out of.
The Brewers have a big advantage here with both their pitching and their batters. They are also a playoff destined team leading their division with a sizable lead while Cleveland will not be going anywhere this season. The Brewers are just stronger and they are going to come and get this win here.
Brewers Indians Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, Sunday, September 12, 2021 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 8 Indians 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers: 47-24 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 29-10 (+17.3 units) on the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Cleveland Indians: 30-47 (-6.6 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 9-21 (-9.8 units) on the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: T. Taylor (CF) Mid Sept - Oblique injury. W. Adames (SS) Out indefinitely - Quadricep injury.
Cleveland Indians: R. Perez (C) Mid Sept - Back injury. W. Ramos (C) out for season - Knee injury. S. Bieber (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury.
Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers: Eduardo Escobar is one player to watch from these squads. He leads his team in hits and in home runs and will need to get some big hits here as the Brewers keep rolling over teams. He will want to start heating up soon getting ready for their first playoff game so watch for him to have a good game here.
Cleveland Indians: Jose Ramirez is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in home runs and and RBI and will need to get going in this game if his team wants a chance at beating the red hot Brewers.
Notable Quotes
"Honest, I don't remember the last time I batted ninth. I'll take it any way they come. Grand slams are always nice. Tonight was a huge one for me." - Lorenzo Cain on batting 9th in the order on Friday.
"They pitch very well. They can create and score runs multiple ways. They've got the extra base hit ability too. They're a very well-rounded team. You have to play good baseball to beat them." DeMarlo Hale after their loss to the Brewers on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers
K. Wong (2B)
E. Escobar (3B)
C. Yelich (LF)
A. Garcia (RF)
O. Narvaez (C)
D. Vogelbach (DH)
L. Urias (SS)
R. Tellez (1B)
L. Cain (CF)
Cleveland Indians
M. Straw (CF)
A. Rosario (SS)
J. Ramirez (DH)
F. Reyes (RF)
B. Bradley (1B)
Y. Chang (3B)
B. Zimmer (LF)
R. Lavarnway (C)
A. Gimenez (2B)
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: L. Maile (.286)
Hits: E. Escobar (124)
Home Runs: E. Escobar (27)
RBI: A. Garcia (79)
Stolen Bases: L. Cain (11)
Wins: B. Suter (12)
Saves: J. Hader (30)
ERA: J. Cousins (1.40)
Cleveland Indians
Batting Average: A. Rosario (.283)
Hits: A. Rosario (143)
Home Runs: J. Ramirez (33)
RBI: J. Ramirez (88)
Stolen Bases: M. Straw (27)
Wins: A. Civale (10)
Saves: E. Clase (22)
ERA: E. Clase (1.48)
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)
Cleveland Indians: DeMarlo Hale (1st season, interim)
Weather Forecast
83 degrees F partly cloudy, 59% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds NE.
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
