by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Friday, Sep 10, 2021
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: BSGL
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Brewers -200 Indians +170; Over/Under: NL runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Brewers -210 Indians +175; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Brewers -185 Indians +150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 86-55 (1st place, NL Central)
Cleveland Indians: 69-69 (2nd place, AL Central)
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Indians Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers: 7-3 last 10
Cleveland Indians: 5-5 last 10
Offensive Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers are ranked 24 in the league for batting average (.236), 10 in the league for RBI (616), 20 in the league for hits (1102), and they are ranked 13 in the league for OBP (.320). The Cleveland Indians are ranked 20 in the league for batting average (.238), 19 in the league for RBI (586), 25 in the league for hits (1087), and they are ranked 25 in the league for OBP (.305).
Defensive Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers are ranked 3 in the league for ERA (3.44), 7 in the league for saves (39), 1 in the league for strikeouts (1402), and they are ranked 3 in the league for WHIP (1.19). The Cleveland Indians are ranked 16 in the league for ERA (4.32), 12 in the league for saves (37), 16 in the league for strikeouts (1223), and they are ranked 14 in the league for WHIP (1.28).
Brewers vs Indians Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on the Cleveland Indians in this matchup on Saturday. Game 1 of this three-game series is still to be played on Friday night with the result pending. The Brewers are on a 2 game winning streak after taking the last 2 games of their three-game series against the Phialdelphia Phillies. The Indians have lost 3 of their last 4 games breaking their 3 game losing streak in their last game.
The Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming off of a 4-3 win against the Phillies on Wednesday. Corbin Burnes will be the starting pitcher for them on the mound and he is 9-4 with a 2.38 ERA this season. He has been outstanding all season with just 2 rocky performances in his last 6 starts. He has only allowed more than 1 ER 3 times in his last 12 games played in. The Brewers have won their last 9 straight games when he has started on the mound. In his last outing, he allowed 3 runs and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits in 5 innings of work. Normally he would go anywhere from 6-8 innings showing how consistent he has been all year. This will be his first time facing the Cleveland lineup this season but that should not be a problem for him. The Brewers' offense has scored 20 runs in their last 4 games averaging 5 runs scored per game. 14 of those runs came in their last 2 games though. He should be backed by lots of run support in this game.
The Cleveland Indians are coming into this game off of a 4-1 win against the Minnesota Twins on Thursday. They will have Zach Plesac as their starter for this game on Saturday and he is 10-4 with a 4.53 ERA this season. He has been credited with 4 straight wins and only has 1 loss in his last 10 starts where there was a decision for him. The Indians have won 5 of their last 6 games when he starts in them. In his last start, he allowed 3 runs and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP. This will be his first time facing the Brewers lineup this season and they have started to heat up now. The Indians have only scored 4 runs total in their last 3 games and all of those came in a single game. He will clearly not get too much run support and will need to rely on his good pitching if Cleveland is to have a chance at winning this game.
The Brewers are a playoff destined team while the Indians will not be going anywhere this season. Both teams have some pretty good pitchers starting in this one but the Brewers have a major advantage with their hitters in this game. The Indians best chance to win is to hope their good bullpen can keep them at bay along with Plesac. It almost seems too easy to pick the Brewers but they are the best bet in this game by far.
Brewers Indians Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 11, 2021 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 7 Indians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers: 12-4 on the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less. 29-10 on the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Cleveland Indians: 30-46 on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 9-20 on the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: M. Pina (C) Mid Sept - Oblique injury. T. Taylor (CF) Mid Sept - Oblique injury. W. Adames (SS) Out indefinitely - Quadricep injury.
Cleveland Indians: R. Perez (C) Mid Sept - Back injury. W. Ramos (C) out for season - Knee injury. S. Bieber (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury.
Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers: Eduardo Escobar is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in hits and in homers and will need to get some big hits here as the Brewers keep rolling over teams. The playoffs are coming up soon and you do not want to get there and be cold so now is the time to start heating up so they are ready for the first game of the postseason.
Cleveland Indians: Zach Plesac is one player to watch in this game. He is the starting pitcher and the pressure will be on him to keep his team in this game. If he can keep the hitters at bay then Cleveland has a chance to win this game but if he plays poorly then it can go south real quick.
Notable Quotes
"At this point, it's stacking up wins and if teams behind us lose, it gets tough on them, for sure. We know it's in our hands right now. You work this hard to build this lead and it's in our hands. So that's how you see it. Take care of our business, and we've earned that." - Craig Counsell on extending their lead over the Cincinnati Reds for the NL Central division.
"It helps when you get the lead, and we also had some traffic on the bases tonight." - DeMarlo Hale after the Indians beat the Twins 4-1 on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers
E. Escobar (3B)
C. Yelich (LF)
O. Narvaez (C)
L. Urias (SS)
D. Vogelbach (1B)
D. Williams (P)
J. Hader (P)
L. Cain (CF)
J. Bradley Jr. (RF)
F. Peralta (P)
Cleveland Indians
M. Straw (CF)
A. Rosario (SS)
J. Ramirez (3B)
F. Reyes (DH)
H. Ramirez (LF)
Y. Chang (1B)
O. Miller (2B)
A. Hedges (C)
O. Mercado (RF)
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: L. Maile (.286)
Hits: E. Escobar (122)
Home Runs: E. Escobar (25)
RBI: A. Garcia (79)
Stolen Bases: L. Cain (11)
Wins: B. Suter (12)
Saves: J. Hader (30)
ERA: J. Hader (1.45)
Cleveland Indians
Batting Average: A. Rosario (.285)
Hits: A. Rosario (143)
Home Runs: J. Ramirez (33)
RBI: J. Ramirez (88)
Stolen Bases: M. Straw (24)
Wins: A. Civale (10)
Saves: E. Clase (22)
ERA: E. Clase (1.48)
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)
Cleveland Indians: DeMarlo Hale (1st season, interim)
Weather Forecast
80 degrees F mostly sunny, 50% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 17 mph wind speeds NW.
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
