Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/23/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 23, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Bucks -7; Over/Under:  225 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Bucks -7; Over/Under:  225 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +7, Bucks -7; Over/Under:  225 points

Miami Heat:  21-21 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  24-17 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 21-21 record overall this season and they are 10-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Portland Trail Blazers. Duncan Robinson led the team in points in that game with 22 while Kel'el Ware was next on the team with 20 points. Jimmy Butler and Nikola Jović each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kel'el Ware led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 44.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 18-24 this season and their O/U record is 24-18.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 24-17 record overall this season and they are 16-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Orlando Magic, the Toronto Raptors, and the Philadelphia 76ers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New Orleans Pelicans still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the 76ers, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 34 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 25 points. Khris Middleton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 49.4% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 76.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 20-21-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-21.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 24-17 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 16-7 home record. They had a terrible start to the season, but they have been getting hot now and have looked a lot better over the last month as they have been climbing up the standings. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked great in their games this season with their 21-21 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East. They have also been a terrible road team this year with their 10-12 road record and they have a lot of drama surrounding the team with Jimmy Butler wanting out. They haven't looked good lately either, going 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they are coming off a loss in their last one to one of the worst teams in the NBA, the Portland Trail Blazers. The Bucks have been rolling lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They are at a bit of a disadvantage since they are playing this game on a back-to-back, but the Heat have been so inconsistent all season that the Bucks can still take advantage of them here with the way the Heat have played on the road this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 23, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 112 Heat 97.

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Miami Heat: 21-29 ATS against Central division opponents. 19-27 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 16-25 ATS in January games. 29-22 OVER against Central division opponents.

Milwaukee Bucks: 63-44 1H ATS in home games. 18-9 1H ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 29-17 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 28-18 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Miami Heat:  T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Groin. K. Johnson (SF) Day To Day - Shoulder. J. Richardson (SG) Day To Day - Heel. D. Smith Out For Season - Achilles.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Day To Day - Patella. K. Middleton (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. M. Beauchamp (SF) Day To Day - Illness. A. Green (SG) Out - Quad.

“I love it. Nah, for real, I do love it. It gives small guys like myself protection behind us, definitely on defense and at the rim. It gives a different dynamic offensively too.” - Tyler Herro on Kel’el Ware’s defense. 

“Scary. Him and Brook [Lopez], I think they are having a competition, who can make the furthest three. They both shoot them easy.” - Doc Rivers on Damian Lillard after his team’s win against the 76ers in their game on Sunday.

PG Tyler Herro

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Jimmy Butler 

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PG Damian Lillard

SG Andre Jackson Jr. 

SF Taurean Prince

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo 

C Brook Lopez

PPG: T. Herro (24)

APG: T. Herro (5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.7)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.5)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)