Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, March 7, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -9.5, Mavericks +9.5; Over/Under:  238 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -9.5, Mavericks +9.5; Over/Under:  238 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -9.5, Mavericks +9.5; Over/Under:  238 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  38-24 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  32-31 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  3-7 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 38-24 record overall this season and they are 16-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the New York Knicks, the San Antonio Spurs, the Atlanta Hawks, and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Ja Morant led the team in points in that game with 24 while Desmond Bane and Scotty Pippen Jr. each were next on the team with 15 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Brandon Clarke led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 40.7% from the field, 26.5% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 35-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 38-24.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 32-31 record overall this season and they are 19-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Sacramento Kings, and the Bucks again. Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 28 while Naji Marshall was next on the team with 22 points. Brandon Williams led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Naji Marshall led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 45.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 40% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 31-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-31.

The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Grizzlies have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-24 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a decent road team with their 16-14 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-31 record overall, but that record only has them in the last play-in spot for the playoffs in the West. They have looked better on their home court this year with their 19-13 home record, but the Mavs have been sliding down the standings in the West lately as they have been a disaster. They derailed their season by trading away Luka Doncic and now any hopes they had left is gone with Kyrie Irving tearing his ACL. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have no momentum on their side with 3 losses in a row now. The Grizzlies haven't looked any better lately as they have also been struggling a lot, going 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are coming into this one with 4 losses in a row now, but they are still in a better situation than the Mavericks. The Grizzlies have faced a lot of good teams lately and have struggled a lot in those games, but they are healthy right now and will be looking at this game like a great opportunity to take advantage of a franchise in shambles right now. The Grizzlies are going to be desperate to bounce back in this game and the Mavericks don't have many options left to go to. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game.

Grizzlies Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 7, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 134 Mavericks 107.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 7-3 ATS on the road after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 25-15 ATS on the road versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 38-21 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 15-7 1H UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Dallas Mavericks: 3-7 ATS after allowing 135 points or more. 3-7 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 15-22 ATS at home revenging a road loss vs opponent. 25-13 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 26-16 UNDER at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Konchar (SG) Day To Day - Knee. S. Aldama (PF) Day To Day - Calf. Y. Kawamura (NA) Day To Day - Hamstring. Z. Pullin Day To Day - Knee. J. Jackson (C) Out - Ankle.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Exum (PG) Day To Day - Foot. K. Jones Day To Day - Quadriceps. P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Hip. K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee. J. Hardy (SG) Out - Ankle. A. Davis (PF) Out - Groin. D. Gafford (C) Out - Knee. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

“Until we start to prioritize the little things for 48 minutes, we’ll be mediocre. We’ll be the same team that we’ve been — good enough to make the playoffs, and we’ll see where we take it from there. If we start to embody those little things, I really feel like the sky is the limit for us.” - Desmond Bane after their loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Wednesday.

“That was really a gut punch, not just for the Dallas Mavericks but for basketball fans around the globe. Kyrie’s been our rock this year. It’s like an unfillable void he leaves so we gotta rally around him and we gotta play hard for him. That one hurt, though, seeing him go down like that really sucked. I know he’s going to come back stronger, but in the moment it just really sucks for everybody.” - Klay Thompson on the injury to Kyrie Irving.

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Santi Aldama

C Zach Edey

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Dante Exum

SF Klay Thompson

PF Olivier-Maxence Prosper

C Dwight Powell

PPG: J. Jackson (22.7)

APG: J. Morant (7.4)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.8)

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (6th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)