Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  SDPA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -155, Padres +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -155, Padres +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -155, Padres +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Los Angeles Dodgers:  63-44 (1st place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  57-51 (2nd place, NL West)

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Los Angeles Dodgers:  7-3 last 10

San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-44 record overall and have a road record of 29-24. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Padres on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .770 OPS. Rookie pitcher River Ryan was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Tyler Glasnow is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-51 record overall and have a home record of 26-28. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Randy Vasquez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked really good in their games this season with their 63-44 record this season which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have looked good in their road games too with their 29-24 road record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 57-51 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West. They haven't looked great in their home games though, going 26-28 in those this season. The Padres have been really hot out of the All-Star break, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, but their big winning streak was just ended by the Orioles in the last game of that series over the weekend. The Dodgers lost 2 of their 3 games against the Astros over the weekend, but they have also been really hot out of the All-Star break with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games too. The Padres were terrible for the 1st half of the season and have finally played themselves back into the playoff conversation, but the Dodgers have been great all year with one of the best offenses in the MLB and they will be looking to bounce back from that series loss. Glasnow is on the mound for the Dodgers and he is going to give them a great chance to bounce back here. He is 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA and the team has had a ton of success with him starting. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him lately and the team has also won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Padres will have Waldron on the mound here and he hasn't been a reliable starter for them. He is 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA and the team hasn't been having a lot of success with him. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 4 of their last 5 games with him starting too. The Padres lost a bit of their momentum with that loss to the Orioles on Sunday and the Dodgers are going to be motivated to bounce back against their division rival here. The Dodgers have the better pitching matchup in this one and they also have the stronger offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game. 

Dodgers Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 30, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Padres 3.

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Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 (+3.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 10 games. 6-4 (+3.60 units) on the runline in their last 10 games. 12-11 (+4.45 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 23 away games. 

San Diego Padres: 20-32 (-17.70 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 52 home games. 21-31 (-15.75 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 52 home games. 26-16 to the over in their last 42 home games. 

Los Angeles Dodgers:  F. Freeman (1B) Out Tues - Personal. C. Taylor (LF) Early Aug - Groin. M. Rojas (SS) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We need every bit of it. Up and down the lineup we got production. That was a good thing.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.

“It’s a guy that’s really going to help our bullpen. He gets righties, gets lefties (out), so that’s clearly a bonus for the club and the ability to use him. He’s pitched at the back end of games. I expect him to continue to do so. It’d be a mix of him in higher-leverage situations with Morejon and Estrada and add to the mix there.” - Mike Shildt on his team acquiring Jason Adam from the Rays.

S Ohtani (L) DH

T Hernández (R) LF

G Lux (L) 2B

J Heyward (L) RF

K Hernández (R) 3B

C Biggio (L) 1B

J Outman (L) CF

A Barnes (R) C

N Ahmed (R) SS

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) DH

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

K Higashioka (R) C

Batting Average:  Shohei Ohtani (.314)

Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (128)

Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (32)

RBI:  Shohei Ohtani (76)

Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (27)

Wins:  Gavin Stone (9)

Saves:  Evan Phillips (15)

ERA:  Eduardo Salazar (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (113)

Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (18)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (67)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (20)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (10)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (23)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Managers:

Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)