by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 04, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 5, 2024
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Pirates -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Pirates -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Pirates -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 38-23 (1st place, NL West)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 27-32 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-23 record overall and have a road record of 17-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while James Paxton is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-0 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 2 hits through 3 IP against the New York Mets.
The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-32 record overall and have a home record of 12-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the LA Dodgers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .661 OPS. Rookie pitcher Jared Jones is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Paul Skenes is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 38-23 record overall which has them at the top of the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are 17-11 in their road games and they also have one of the best offenses in the MLB too. The Pirates haven't looked great in their starts this season with their 27-32 record overall and their 12-15 home record. The Pirates did get off to a really hot start this season, leading the NL Central in the 1st month, but they have fallen off now like they usually do and have been struggling in their games lately too. They do have Skenes starting in this game and he has been really good in his starts so far as a rookie, but this is also going to be one of the toughest tests he is going to face with one of the best lineups in the MLB. The Dodgers have their own stud on the mound in this game though. Paxton is starting for the Dodgers here and not only does he have a lot more experience as a starter, but he has also looked great this season with his 3.29 ERA and his 5-0 record as the Dodgers have been playing very well in games that he has started in. He is also coming off another start which he allowed no runs in so he is going to make it really difficult on this Pirates lineup that has already been struggling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Dodgers Pirates Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 5, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Pirates 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 250-142 (+7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 118-75 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 175-95 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 12-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 18-10 UNDER in road games.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 85-104 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 57-76 (-18.1 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 71-104 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 26-19 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Brasier (RP) Late May - Calf. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Phillips (RP) Late May - Hamstring. K. Hurt (SP) Early June - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Late May - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow.
Pittsburgh Pirates: A. Williams (SS) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Bart (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb. M. Perez (SP) Mid June - Groin. B. Chandler (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It's been under the radar, but not lost on us his value. Consistency and certainty is what you are getting from him now. To his credit, he is watching what his teammates are doing and then applying things fit for his arsenal." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.
“That ended up being the game. We left eight guys on in the first (four) innings. We had the ability to capitalize.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Andy Pages (R) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) 2B
Enrique Hernández (R) 3B
Miguel Vargas (R) LF
Austin Barnes (R) C
Pittsburgh Pirates
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Bryan Reynolds (S) LF
Connor Joe (R) RF
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Nick Gonzales (R) 2B
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Ji Hwan Bae (L) CF
Grant Koch (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.322)
Hits: Mookie Betts (76)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (14)
RBI: Teoscar Hernández (38)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (14)
Wins: Tyler Glasnow (6)
Saves: Evan Phillips (9)
ERA: Blake Treinen (0.00)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: Nick Gonzales (.308)
Hits: Bryan Reynolds (60)
Home Runs: Andrew McCutchen (8)
RBI: Bryan Reynolds (32)
Stolen Bases: Jack Suwinski (5)
Wins: Seth Lugo (9)
Saves: James McArthur (11)
ERA: Jordan Lyles (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
