by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024
Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 11, 2024
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-37 (1st place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies: 5932 (1st place, NL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 13-4-3 MLB RUN for +$8,400 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 4-6 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-37 record overall and have a road record of 27-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Dodgers lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Gavin Stone is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Landon Knack is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-2 with a 2.86 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 4.1 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-32 record overall and have a home record of 34-14. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Phillies won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 10-4 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 59-32 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 34-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 55-37 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB too. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-18 road record. The Dodgers are coming off a series win over the weekend while the Phillies are coming off a series loss, but the Phillies already took the 1st game of this series and now these two are starting to head in different directions. The Dodgers are only 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Phillies are 6-4, and their offense has been getting hot again as they took the 1st game in this series with a 10-1 win. Nola is going to be on the mound for the Phillies and he hasn't been their ace this season, but he has still looked great in his starts. He is 10-4 with a 3.48 ERA and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound this year. They have won 3 of the last 4 games he started in. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start against the Braves, but that has been on the higher end for him this season so he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance now that he is back at home. The Dodgers are going with Knack in this one and he is 1-2 with a 2.86 ERA. He hasn't looked bad this season, but he doesn't have a ton of experience in the MLB since this is his 1st season and he hasn't made many starts. He also gave up 4 earned runs in his last start which will be trouble against this hot Phillies offense that is one of the best in the MLB, and the Dodgers have lost 3 games in a row with him starting too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Dodgers Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 11, 2024 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Dodgers 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-27 (-9.45 units) on the runline in their last 49 games. 19-14 to the over in their last 33 games. 11-8 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 19 away games.
Philadelphia Phillies: 31-8 (+16.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 39 home games. 51-24 (+22.65 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 75 games. 46-29 to the over with their team total in their last 75 games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Philadelphia Phillies: L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle. S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walker (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Realmuto (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“I'll just use all this failure as motivation going into my next outing." - Bobby Miller after their loss against the Phillies in their game on Tuesday.
“I thought Trea's grand slam gave us some distance.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) RF
J Outman (L) CF
M Rojas (R) SS
G Lux (L) 2B
M Vargas (R) LF
C Biggio (L) 3B
Philadelphia Phillies
K Schwarber (L) DH
T Turner (R) SS
B Harper (L) 1B
A Bohm (R) 3B
B Stott (L) 2B
N Castellanos (R) RF
B Marsh (L) LF
R Marchán (S) C
J Rojas (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.315)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (110)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (28)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (65)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (21)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.342)
Hits: Alec Bohm (101)
Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20)
RBI: Alec Bohm (70)
Stolen Bases: Bryson Stott (21)
Wins: Ranger Suárez (10)
Saves: José Alvarado (13)
ERA: Jeff Hoffman (1.21)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
