by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 09, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 10, 2024
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Phillies -130; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Phillies -130; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Phillies -130; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-36 (1st place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies: 58-32 (1st place, NL East)
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Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-36 record overall and have a road record of 27-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .775 OPS. Bobby Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Gavin Stone is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-2 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 3 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-32 record overall and have a home record of 33-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 2.96 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 58-32 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 33-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 55-36 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB too. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-17 road record. Both of these teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games and both lost their last game coming into this series, but the Dodgers are coming off a series win over the weekend while the Phillies are coming off a series loss. The Phillies are going to have a solid starter here with Sanchez on the mound who is 6-4 with a 2.96 ERA, but he is coming off a terrible start in his last one after pitching so well all year. He gave up 7 earned runs against a mediocre offense like the Cubs and now he is going to have to face one of the best offenses in the entire MLB here. The Phillies do have a great offense to help him out, but the Dodgers are going to have their own stud on the mound with Stone. Stone is 9-2 with a 3.03 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs all season. He did allow 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year, and the team has still had a ton of success with him starting, winning 6 of their last 7 games. Both of these offenses have been great this year and both teams are going to bring their best effort as these are two of the best in the MLB right now, but Stone gives the edge to the Dodgers in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 10, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 3 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 21-27 (-10.45 units) on the runline in their last 48 games. 16-10 to the over in their last 26 games. 11-7 to the over with their team total in their last 18 away games.
Philadelphia Phillies: 30-8 (+15.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 38 home games. 50-24 (+21.65 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 74 games. 46-28 to the over with their team total in their last 74 games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Philadelphia Phillies: T. Walker (SP) - Index Finger. J. Realmuto (C) - Knee. K. Clemens (2B) - Back. M. Rucker (RP) - Hand. D. Covey (RP) - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I’m really, really impressed with the way he carries himself, the way he cared himself today. I know his stuff plays here. He left the slider, sweeper to Yelich. The Haase at-bat, I think he just left a fastball up and out over. But all things taken into consideration, I thought he did a really nice job.” - Dave Roberts on Justin Wrobleski after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.
“He just couldn’t find the strike zone.” - Rob Thomson on Michael Mercado after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) RF
A Pages (R) CF
M Vargas (R) LF
M Rojas (R) SS
K Hernández (R) 3B
C Taylor (R) 2B
Philadelphia Phillies
B Stott (L) 2B
T Turner (R) SS
A Bohm (R) 3B
B Marsh (L) RF
N Castellanos (R) DH
K Clemens (L) 1B
W Merrifield (R) LF
G Stubbs (L) C
J Rojas (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.319)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (109)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (28)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (65)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (20)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.335)
Hits: Alec Bohm (101)
Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20)
RBI: Alec Bohm (70)
Stolen Bases: Bryson Stott (21)
Wins: Ranger Suárez (10)
Saves: José Alvarado (13)
ERA: Jeff Hoffman (1.21)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
