by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 08, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 9, 2024
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: NBCS-PH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +124, Phillies -148; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-36 (1st place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies: 58-32 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-36 record overall and have a road record of 27-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .775 OPS. Rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.12 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-32 record overall and have a home record of 33-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Rookie pitcher Michael Mercado was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 58-32 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 33-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 55-36 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB too. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-17 road record. Both of these teams have looked great this season, but the Phillies have the better pitching matchup in this one and that is going to give them a big edge at home. They are going with Wheeler in this one and he has looked great in his starts this season. He is 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Dodgers are going to have Miller on the mound here and he is not a bad starter, but he has missed a lot of the season with an injury and hasn't looked good in his few starts. He is 1-1 with a 6.12 ERA and he is going to struggle against one of the best offenses in the MLB here. The Phillies also lost their series against the Braves over the weekend so they are going to be looking to bounce back in a big way now that they are back at home, and they are going to bring their best effort here for a team like the Dodgers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Dodgers Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 9, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Dodgers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 21-26 (-8.95 units) on the runline in their last 47 games. 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games. 11-6 to the over with their team total in their last 17 away games.
Philadelphia Phillies: 29-8 (+14.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 37 home games. 50-25 (+19.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 75 games. 45-28 to the over with their team total in their last 73 games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Philadelphia Phillies: T. Walker (SP) - Index Finger. J. Realmuto (C) - Knee. K. Clemens (2B) - Back. M. Rucker (RP) - Hand. D. Covey (RP) - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I’m really, really impressed with the way he carries himself, the way he cared himself today. I know his stuff plays here. He left the slider, sweeper to Yelich. The Haase at-bat, I think he just left a fastball up and out over. But all things taken into consideration, I thought he did a really nice job.” - Dave Roberts on Justin Wrobleski after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.
“He just couldn’t find the strike zone.” - Rob Thomson on Michael Mercado after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) RF
A Pages (R) CF
M Vargas (R) LF
M Rojas (R) SS
K Hernández (R) 3B
C Taylor (R) 2B
Philadelphia Phillies
B Stott (L) 2B
T Turner (R) SS
A Bohm (R) 3B
B Marsh (L) RF
N Castellanos (R) DH
K Clemens (L) 1B
W Merrifield (R) LF
G Stubbs (L) C
J Rojas (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.319)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (109)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (28)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (65)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (20)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.335)
Hits: Alec Bohm (101)
Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20)
RBI: Alec Bohm (70)
Stolen Bases: Bryson Stott (21)
Wins: Ranger Suárez (10)
Saves: José Alvarado (13)
ERA: Jeff Hoffman (1.21)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
