by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 12, 2024
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -130, Tigers +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -130, Tigers +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -130, Tigers +110; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-39 (1st place, NL West)
Detroit Tigers: 45-49 (4th place, AL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3-7 last 10
Detroit Tigers: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-39 record overall and have a road record of 27-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .769 OPS. James Paxton is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Tigers are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-49 record overall and have a home record of 22-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Tarik Skubal is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Keider Montero is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-2 with a 4.64 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.
Dodgers vs Tigers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 45-49 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL Central and out of the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their home games either, going 22-23 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 55-39 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-20 road record. As good as the Dodgers have looked this year, they have been in a slump lately as they were just swept by the Phillies in their last series and are now 3-7 in their last 10 games. Their offense has been struggling a lot in their last few games and that is going to be a problem here since the Tigers have been really hot on offense lately, helping them move to 7-3 in their last 10 games now. Both of these teams will be starting rookies in this game, but the Tigers have the slight advantage with their pitching and their hotter offense. Montero is on the mound for the Tigers and he has looked good in his rookie season, going 1-2 with a 4.64 ERA. The team has won 2 games in a row with him starting and he looked great in his last start, giving up no runs against the Guardians who do have a good offense. The Dodgers are going to have Wrobleski on the mound and he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA. He has only had 1 MLB start in his career which was against the Brewers last week, but he gave up 4 earned runs in that start which the Dodgers went on to lose that game. The Dodgers haven't been hitting well lately so they won't have the offense to bail him out here, and the Tigers also have one of the best bullpens in the MLB to give the Dodgers trouble here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game.
Dodgers Tigers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Tigers 5 Dodgers 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 25-32 (-16.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 57 games. 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games.
Detroit Tigers: 19-14 (+8.90 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 33 home games. 7-1 (+6.85 units) on the runline in their last 8 games. 38-28 to the over in their last 66 games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Detroit Tigers: M. Canha (LF) Que Fri - Hip. P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“They’re clearly playing a lot better baseball than we are. They’re clearly a better baseball team than we are right now. … Like I always say, no one’s going to feel sorry for you. You've got to play better." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.
“The production has picked up and the pitching has stabilized. Our guys like winning, and winning series, and we hadn't done that in a while.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) LF
A Pages (R) RF
M Rojas (R) SS
J Outman (L) CF
C Taylor (R) 3B
G Lux (L) 2B
Detroit Tigers
W Pérez (S) RF
C Keith (L) 2B
M Vierling (R) CF
R Greene (L) LF
C Kelly (R) C
Z McKinstry (L) 3B
G Urshela (R) 1B
J Báez (R) SS
J Malloy (R) DH
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.314)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (112)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (28)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (66)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (22)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average: Andy Ibáñez (.288)
Hits: Riley Greene (91)
Home Runs: Riley Greene (17)
RBI: Riley Greene (48)
Stolen Bases: Javier Báez (7)
Wins: Tarik Skubal (10)
Saves: Jason Foley (15)
ERA: Tarik Skubal (2.37)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
