by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 11, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, July 12, 2024
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Tigers -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Tigers -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Tigers -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-38 (1st place, NL West)
Detroit Tigers: 44-49 (4th place, AL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 4-6 last 10
Detroit Tigers: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-38 record overall and have a road record of 27-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Thursday. The Dodgers lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Anthony Banda is their starting pitcher on Thursday while James Paxton is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-2 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Tigers completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-49 record overall and have a home record of 21-23. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Thursday. The Tigers won the 1st game of that series on Monday, lost the 2nd game on Tuesday, and won the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Jack Flaherty is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Tarik Skubal is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-3 with a 2.37 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 13 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.
Dodgers vs Tigers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 44-49 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL Central and out of the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their home games either, going 21-23 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 55-38 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 27-19 road record. As good as the Dodgers have looked this year, they have been in a slump lately, losing their series against the Phillies and going 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Tigers have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, and their offense has been getting hot too. The Tigers are also going to have their stud on the mound here with Skubal starting. He is 10-3 with a 2.37 ERA this season, leading the team in wins and not giving up many runs all year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. Paxton is on the mound for the Dodgers and he hasn't looked bad this season. The team has won 4 of their last 5 games with Paxton starting as he is 7-2 with a 4.24 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he has had a few bad starts lately and hasn't looked as good over the last few weeks as he looked to start the season. The Tigers haven't been great this season, but now they are getting hot and they are catching the Dodgers at the right time with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game.
Dodgers Tigers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 12, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Tigers 3 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-28 (-10.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 50 games. 17-12 to the over in their last 29 games.
Detroit Tigers: 7-2 (+6.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 9 games. 7-0 (+7.85 units) on the runline in their last 7 games. 44-33 to the over in their last 77 games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Detroit Tigers: P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“We know we stack up with those guys, they know that we stack up with them. Unfortunately, we haven't won two games. I still think we have a pretty good ballclub.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.
“We got to pick the guy we wanted to face, but we didn't plan for the second pitch to the backstop. It's a win, and you are never mad about a win.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
T Hernández (R) RF
F Freeman (L) 1B
A Pages (R) CF
M Rojas (R) SS
M Vargas (R) LF
C Taylor (R) 2B
K Hernández (R) 3B
A Barnes (R) C
Detroit Tigers
W Pérez (S) RF
C Keith (L) 2B
M Vierling (R) CF
R Greene (L) LF
C Kelly (R) C
Z McKinstry (L) 3B
G Urshela (R) 1B
J Báez (R) SS
J Malloy (R) DH
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.317)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (112)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (28)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (66)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (22)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average: Andy Ibáñez (.290)
Hits: Riley Greene (88)
Home Runs: Riley Greene (17)
RBI: Riley Greene (45)
Stolen Bases: Javier Báez (6)
Wins: Tarik Skubal (10)
Saves: Jason Foley (15)
ERA: Tarik Skubal (2.37)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
