Kansas City Royals vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 04, 2025
Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Thursday, June 5, 2025
Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Where to Watch:  FDSMW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals -102, Cardinals -118; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +100, Cardinals -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +100, Cardinals -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  32-29 (4th place, AL Central)
St Louis Cardinals:  33-27 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  4-6 last 10
St Louis Cardinals:  6-4 last 10



Kansas City Royals vs St Louis Cardinals Preview and Analysis


The Royals are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-29 record overall and have a road record of 13-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Royals won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .664 OPS. Rookie pitcher Noah Cameron is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cole Ragans is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Cardinals are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-27 record overall and have a home record of 19-9. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Cardinals lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Miles Mikolas is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Matthew Liberatore is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-4 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Texas Rangers.


Royals vs Cardinals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cardinals listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cardinals have looked good in their games this season with their 33-27 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL Central. They have also looked a lot better in their own ballpark this year with their 19-9 home record. Meanwhile, the Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 32-29 record overall, but that record also has them near the bottom of the AL Central in a competitive division. They haven't been a good road team either with their 13-16 road record this season. The Royals took the 1st game of this series on Tuesday with a big comeback win, but they have not looked good coming into this series as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Cardinals are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have looked a lot better at home this year so they should have enough to edge out the Royals in this one. Liberatore is on the mound for the Cardinals and he hasn't looked great this year. His team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in and he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been that bad as he is 3-4 with a 3.08 ERA and he will pitch better in this game at home. Ragans is on the bump for the Royals in this one and he hasn't looked any better this season. He is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA and has been giving up runs all year. He also gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Cardinals have been the hotter team lately and have had the better offense this season so look for them to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cardinals to win this game. 

Royals Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 5, 2025 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 5 Royals 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Kansas City Royals: 73-87 (+4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 9-9 (+3.2 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better. 51-29 (+25.4 units) on the moneyline vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. 51-29 UNDER vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game.

St Louis Cardinals: 186-197 (-23 units) on the moneyline in all games. 98-92 (-16.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 51-54 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 6-3 UNDER at home after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Royals:  M. Garcia (3B) Day To Day - Thumb. L. Erceg (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Ragans (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. A. Marsh (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. McArthur (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Long (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. H. Harvey (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder.

St Louis Cardinals:  J. Walker (RF) Ten Day IL - Wrist. Z. Thompson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat.


Notable Quotes


“Hit the ball pretty well. No cigar. Victor Scott is pretty good out there. He made a great play.” - Jac Caglianone after their win against the Cardinals in their game on Tuesday.


“If you allow him to play more, you’ll see him step on the gas a little more, meaning more power. Some of that contact is being traded for power at the moment. Especially if you’re not playing every day. The more at-bats you get, the faster you allow yourself to drive.” - Oliver Marmol on Nolan Gorman after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Royals
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Maikel Garcia (R) 3B
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Salvador Perez (R) C
Jac Caglianone (L) DH
Nick Loftin (R) LF
Drew Waters (S) RF
Kyle Isbel (L) CF

St Louis Cardinals
Lars Nootbaar (L) LF
Masyn Winn (R) SS
Brendan Donovan (L) 2B
Willson Contreras (R) 1B
Iván Herrera (R) C
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Alec Burleson (L) RF
Nolan Gorman (L) DH
Victor Scott II (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Luke Maile (.375)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (68)
Home Runs:  Vinnie Pasquantino (8)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (35)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (20)
Wins:  Kris Bubic (5)
Saves:  Carlos Estévez (17)
ERA:  Hunter Harvey (0.00)

St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  Thomas Saggese (.341)
Hits:  Brendan Donovan (71)
Home Runs:  Lars Nootbaar (8)
RBI:  Willson Contreras (32)
Stolen Bases:  Victor Scott (16)
Wins:  Sonny Gray (6)
Saves:  Ryan Helsley (13)
ERA:  Michael McGreevy (0.00)

Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (3rd season)
St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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