Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 03, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 4, 2024
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSKC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals -108, Guardians -112; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals -105, Guardians -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals -105, Guardians -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  36-25 (2nd place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  39-20 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  4-6 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10



Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Royals are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-25 record overall and have a road record of 14-15. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Cole Ragans was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Seth Lugo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-1 with a 1.72 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-20 record overall and have a home record of 20-7. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Carlos Carrasco was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.


Royals vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 39-20 record overall which is one of the best records in the entire MLB right now and has them right at the top of the AL Central. They have also looked great in their home games with their 20-7 home record. The Royals have also looked really good in their games this season with their 36-25 record overall which has them right behind the Guardians in 2nd place of the AL Central, but as good as the Royals have been this year, they have still struggled in their road games with their losing 14-15 road record. They do have Lugo on the mound in this game which is a big boost since he has 9 wins this season and a 1.72 ERA which makes him one of their best starters in the rotation, but the Guardians have McKenzie starting in this game and he is also a solid starter. McKenzie is only 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA this season, but he still doesn't give up many runs in his starts and he is going to give the Guardians a chance to win this game, even with Lugo on the other side. The Guardians have also been great at getting guys on base and scoring runs all season with their small ball, and they play a lot better when they are in their own ballpark. Even with the better pitching matchup, the Guardians are just too good to lose this game to the Royals when they have been so hot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game. 

Royals Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 4, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Royals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Kansas City Royals: 157-228 (-26.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 63-128 (-33 units) on the moneyline in road games. 116-176 (-28.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. SETH LUGO is 8-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 and 10-3 UNDER against division opponents. 

Cleveland Guardians: 39-20 (+17 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-7 (+10 units) on the moneyline in home games. 21-8 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 8-4 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 4-1 UNDER after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents. 43-27 UNDER after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Royals:  K. Isbel (CF) Ques Tues - Head. B. Singer (SP) Ques Tues - Illness. M. Wacha (SP) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Massey (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Lyles (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Taylor (RP) Late May - Bicep. K. Bubic (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Cleveland Guardians:  E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Carrasco (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It felt great. I thought I commanded my stuff today. I don’t think I changed anything. Just sticking to the process and going out there and executing that is the biggest thing. In late innings, we put together good bats. These guys are relentless. It is so fun to watch and be a part of.” - Cole Ragans after their win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.


“We just couldn’t see to square anything up against (Irvin).” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Royals
Maikel Garcia (R) 3B
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Salvador Perez (R) DH
Adam Frazier (L) RF
Nick Loftin (R) 2B
MJ Melendez (L) LF
Freddy Fermin (R) C
Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Tyler Freeman (R) CF
José Ramírez (S) DH
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Will Brennan (L) RF
Gabriel Arias (R) 3B
Bo Naylor (L) C
Daniel Schneemann (L) 2B
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Salvador Perez (.315)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (76)
Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (10)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (42)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (17)
Wins:  Seth Lugo (9)
Saves:  James McArthur (11)
ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.362)
Hits:  José Ramírez (63)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (16)
RBI:  José Ramírez (57)
Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (9)
Wins:  Logan Allen (6)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (18)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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