Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +110, Red Sox -130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Kansas City Royals:  51-43 (3rd place, AL Central)

Boston Red Sox:  51-41 (3rd place, AL East)

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Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  8-2 last 10

The Royals are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-43 record overall and have a road record of 20-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Cole Ragans is their starting pitcher on Friday while Seth Lugo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-3 with a 2.21 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-41 record overall and have a home record of 22-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Josh Winckowski is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-7 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 51-43 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked as good in their road games though, going 20-25 in road games this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 51-41 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot too. They have looked worse in their home games this year, going 22-24 in their home games. The Red Sox got off to a terrible start this season, but now they have played themselves back into the playoff race. They have a solid starter on the mound here with Crawford as he is 5-7 with a 3.24 ERA. He does have 7 losses this season, but the team has been much better with him starting lately, winning 2 games in a row now. He also gave up no runs in his last start and has looked good all season, not giving up too many runs in his starts. The Royals also have a solid starter here with Lugo on the mound as he is 11-3 with a 2.21 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year, but his team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Royals have struggled a lot more in their road games this year and they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Red Sox have been red hot, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game. 

Royals Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 3 Royals 2.

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Kansas City Royals: 53-38 (+8.49 units) on the runline in their last 91 games. 39-33 (+3.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 72 games. 8-3 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 11 games. 

Boston Red Sox: 36-47 (-18.10 units) on the runline in their last 83 games. 27-34 (-9.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 61 games. 25-16 to the over in their last 41 games. 

Kansas City Royals:  D. Altavilla (RP) Mid Sep - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Taylor (RP) Late June - Bicep. J. Lyles (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Boston Red Sox:  C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

“He makes us go. The middle of the order is big for us and no one is bigger than Salvy.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s double-header against the Cardinals on Wednesday.

“He’s our guy and you’ve got to trust him. Usually, I make my decision in the dugout, but I wasn’t ready to take him out of the game. He deserves that. He’s done an amazing job throughout the first half of the season.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Thursday.

M Garcia (R) 2B

B Witt Jr. (R) SS

V Pasquantino (L) 1B

S Perez (R) C

H Renfroe (R) RF

F Fermin (R) DH

M Melendez (L) LF

N Loftin (R) 3B

G Hampson (R) CF

J Duran (L) CF

D Hamilton (L) 2B

T O'Neill (R) LF

R Devers (L) 3B

C Wong (R) C

M Yoshida (L) DH

W Abreu (L) RF

Do Smith (L) 1B

C Rafaela (R) SS

Batting Average:  Bobby Witt (.325)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (122)

Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (16)

RBI:  Bobby Witt (62)

Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (22)

Wins:  Seth Lugo (11)

Saves:  James McArthur (17)

ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.314)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (107)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (21)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (58)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (9)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (18)

ERA:  Brennan Bernardino (1.72)

Managers:

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)