Iowa Hawkeyes vs Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/05/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024

Venue:  Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Iowa +20, Ohio State -20; Over/Under:  45 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Iowa +19.5, Ohio State -19.5; Over/Under:  45 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Iowa +19.5, Ohio State -19.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Iowa Hawkeyes:  3-1 (1-0) (7th place, Big Ten)

Ohio State Buckeyes:  4-0 (1-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Iowa Hawkeyes:  won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 31-14.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  won their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 38-7.

Iowa is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Minnesota 31-14. Cade McNamara was the starting QB and he completed 11/19 passes for 62 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaleb Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 206 and 3 TDs. Addison Ostrenga led the receivers with 20 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Deshaun Lee led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nick Jackson led the defense in sacks with 1. Jay Higgins and Quinn Schulte each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Ohio State is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Michigan State 38-7. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 244 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 69. Emeka Egbuka led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Caleb Downs led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Mitchell Melton led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Denzel Burke came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Iowa listed as a 20 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and their 1-0 conference record. Their only loss was in a rivalry game, losing at home to Iowa State, but they have bounced back since then with a big conference win on the road over Minnesota by double digits. Their defense has been great like it has been in previous years, but their offense has also improved a ton this season. Meanwhile, Ohio State has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record. They are coming off a conference win against Michigan State in their last one, winning that game 38-7, but Michigan State did play well on defense as Ohio State got off to a really slow start before pulling away. Iowa doesn't have the talent that Ohio State has, but their defense is talented enough to keep them in this game and cause some problems for Ohio State's offense. Iowa's offense has also improved a lot this year so they aren't going to be dead in the water and will put some points up with 2 weeks to prepare for this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa Ohio State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 28 Iowa 13.

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Iowa Hawkeyes: 1-4 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 2-5 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 2-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 9-1 UNDER as an underdog. 11-1 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 15-5 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Ohio State Buckeyes: 6-3 ATS off a road win. 11-5 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 11-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-2 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 6-1 1H UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 4-1 1H UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 

Iowa Hawkeyes:  J. Montgomery (LB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Anderson (WR) Out - Undisclosed.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  R. Stocksdale (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Armstrong (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.

“I just really appreciate them for opening up the holes for me and allowing me to do my thing. Without them, I’m not Kaleb Johnson. I just give credit to my o-line. My o-line scored them points, not me.” - Kaleb Johnson after their win against Minnesota in their last game. 

“It flipped the game. It’s where the game turned. If we don’t get those turnovers, it’s a different game.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against MSU in their last game. 

WR Vander Zee, Reece 

WR Gill, Jacob 

WR Wetjen, Kaden

TE Lachey, Luke 

QB McNamara, Cade 

RB Johnson, Kaleb

FB Large, Hayden

WR Smith, Jeremiah

WR Tate, Carnell 

WR Egbuka, Emeka 

TE Scott Jr., Gee 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

Passing: C. McNamara (588)

Rushing: K. Johnson (685)

Receiving: J. Gill (145)

Touchdowns: K. Johnson (9)

Passing: W. Howard (1039)

Rushing: Q. Judkins (390)

Receiving: J. Smith (364)

Touchdowns: J. Smith (6)

Coaches:

Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (26th season)

Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)