Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/22/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Sunday, June 22, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Obi Toppin led the team in points in that game with 20 while Andrew Nembhard was next on the team with 17 points. T. J. McConnell led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.3% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 50-51-3 this season and their O/U record is 54-48-2.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 16 points. Ajay Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.9% from the field, 26.7% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 63-38-4 this season and their O/U record is 55-48-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Pacers won game 6 at home. The Pacers made it a 3-3 series with a 108-91 win over the Thunder in the 6th game of this series and they were all over the Thunder from start to finish. The Pacers took a slight lead in the 1st quarter of that game, but they broke the game open in the 2nd quarter and never looked back. Now they are going on the road for game 7 and the winner will bring home the NBA Championship, but the Thunder have been a very different team on their home court in these playoffs than they have been in their road games. Now the Thunder are going back home and they will be looking to bounce back after the way they were handled by the Pacers in that game. The Pacers looked great as they showed a lot of fight to keep their season alive and force game 7, but they haven't looked that great throughout the series. Even their other 2 wins in this series were much closer games, 1 of them even being a game that they were trailing by double digits most of the night. The Pacers had a great year and they really pushed the Thunder to the brink in this series, but the Thunder have been rolling on their home court all playoffs and they are going to do the same thing that they did in the last 2 home games of this series against the Pacers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, June 16, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 131 Pacers 119.

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Indiana Pacers: 14-21 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 14-22 ATS off a home win. 4-7 ATS on the road versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 4-1 OVER when tied in a playoff series. 7-3 OVER on the road off an upset win as a home underdog.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 22-15 ATS against Central division opponents. 73-37 ATS as a home favorite. 26-12 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 33-15 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 12-4 OVER after scoring 100 points or less.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Walker (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“We just wanted to protect home court. We didn’t want to see these guys celebrate a championship on our home floor. Backs against the wall and we just responded. Total team effort.” - Tyrese Haliburton after their win against the OKC Thunder in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

“Credit Indiana. They earned the win. They outplayed us for most of the 48 minutes. They went out there and attacked the game.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)