Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  BSOK

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  236 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Indiana Pacers:  36-29 (3rd place, Central Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  45-19 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 36-29 record overall and they are 16-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic in their last game. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton each led the team in points in that game with 20 while T. J. McConnell and Obi Toppin each were next on the team with 17 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Myles Turner and Obi Toppin each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.7% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 121.4 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 34-29-3 this season and their O/U record is 33-31-2.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 45-19 record overall and they are 26-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Miami Heat, and the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 23 while Cason Wallace was next on the team with 22 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Gordon Hayward each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Josh Giddey led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.7% from the field, 44.7% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 39-24-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-27-3.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 45-19 record overall which leads the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 26-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 36-29 record overall but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They are right on the cusp of a true playoff spot in the East but they haven't been a great road team this season either with their 16-16 road record. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and also coming off a win in Orlando in their last one, but they still haven't been the hotter team coming into this one. The Thunder have been a lot hotter lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they also have all the momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row. They just took over the number 1 seed in the West with this winning streak and they only have a 1 game lead over 2nd place so they are going to be motivated to continue their hot streak here. The Thunder are also in the middle of a homestand while the Pacers have been traveling so the Thunder have the advantage there while also being the stronger and hotter team right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 12, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 127 Pacers 112.

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Indiana Pacers: 9-15 ATS in non-conference games. 2-5 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 23-15 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 24-18 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 18-8 ATS as a home favorite. 10-2 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 24-14 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 31-13 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 9-4 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders. 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Smith (PF) Ques Tues - Illness. B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder. D. McDermott (SF) Out indefinitely - Calf.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SG) Ques Tues - Ankle.

“T.J. McConnell gave us a great left when he came into the game because we were struggling to score. He got to the rim a few times and really boosted our energy from there.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Sunday.

“I mean, you see games every night in the NBA where a team’s banged up or a team with a lesser record knocks off a team with a better record. And so I never take for granted when we give that kind of energy output. And it was from the jump.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Sunday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PPG: P. Siakam (21.6)

APG: T. Haliburton (11.3)

Reb/G: M. Turner (7.1)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.8)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)