Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/13/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 12, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 13, 2023
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  BSWI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +6, Bucks -6; Over/Under:  257.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +6, Bucks -6; Over/Under:  257.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +6, Bucks -6; Over/Under:  257.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  13-8 (2nd place, Central Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  16-7 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are entering this game with a 13-8 record overall and they are 6-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Bennedict Mathurin led the team in points in that game with 30 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 23 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Bruce Brown Jr. led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 56.5% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 128.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 124.8 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 13-9 this season and their O/U record is 17-5.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 16-7 record overall and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 32 while Brook Lopez and Malik Beasley each were next on the team with 19 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Khris Middleton led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 51.7% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 81.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.2 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 9-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-8.


Pacers vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 16-7 record overall. They have one of the best records in the East right now and they have looked even better in their home games with their 11-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Pacers have also looked good in their games this season with their 13-8 record overall and their 6-3 road record. The Pacers just beat the Pistons in their last game which was a bounce back after losing in the NBA In-Season Tournament finals to the Lakers, but the Pistons are also one of the worst teams in the NBA this season. The Pacers are going to have a much tougher time on the road against the Bucks as they are also coming off a win in their last game, and the Bucks will also be playing with revenge here after losing to the Pacers in Las Vegas last week in the NBA In-Season Tournament. This will be a different environment for the Pacers on the road here than it was in that win last week and the Bucks will be motivated to get a big win here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 13, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 134 Pacers 122.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 6-1 ATS vs. division opponents. 15-8 ATS after scoring 130 points or more. 17-5 OVER in all games. 16-5 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 8-0 OVER in road games. 13-3 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Milwaukee Bucks: 4-8 ATS as a home favorite. 0-6 ATS vs. division opponents. 1-5 ATS after a combined score of 245 points or more in 3 straight games. 15-8 OVER in all games. 14-7 OVER as a favorite. 8-4 OVER in home games. 28-15 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  A. Nembhard (PG) Late Dec - Knee. J. Smith (PF) Out indefinitely - Heel.

Milwaukee Bucks:  C. Livingston (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle. P. Connaughton (SG) Late Dec - Ankle. J. Crowder (SF) Mid Jan - Groin.


Notable Quotes


“This is one of the most difficult games you can have, coming off the emotions of last week, the game on Saturday, the travel and everything else. I just thought our guys did a great job of staying together, keeping their composure and their aggression. Detroit is in an all-out attack mode because of their situation.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Monday.


“The Bulls played a terrific game. Every time we thought we had them down, they kind of fought and clawed back in the game. But when we need to get stops, we get stops. I thought that was encouraging.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Buddy Hield
SF Bruce Brown
PF Obi Toppin
C Myles Turner

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: T. Haliburton (26.3)
APG: T. Haliburton (12.3)
Reb/G: M. Turner (8)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.6)
APG: D. Lillard (7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (10.7)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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