Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/07/2023

Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Thursday, December 7, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  254.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  254.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  254.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  11-8 (2nd place, Central Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  15-6 (1st place, Central Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  8-2 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with an 11-8 record overall and they are 4-3 in their road games this season but they will be at a neutral site in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics in their last game. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 26 while Buddy Hield was next on the team with 21 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.7% from the field, 47.5% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 128.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 125.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 11-8 this season and their O/U record is 16-3.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 15-6 record overall and they are 10-1 in their home games this season but they will be at a neutral site in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks and the New York Knicks in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 35 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 28 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 60.4% from the field, 60.5% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 9-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-7.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will count as a regular season game but will also serve as one of the semi-final games for the NBA In-Season Tournament. The Pacers are 11-8 overall this season and have looked really good in their games lately. They just beat the Celtics at home to get to this game and now they are going to be motivated to go to the finals. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also looked really good in their games this year with their 15-6 record overall which has them as one of the best teams in the East right now. The Bucks also won their last game at home against the Knicks to get here but now this game is at a neutral site in Vegas and neither team is going to have much of a home advantage here. The Pacers have a young team and have been motivated throughout this entire tournament to do well. They are also playing with an extra day of rest on their side and they lead the NBA in scoring this season as they play a really fast paced game with no defense but they do put up a ton of points. That will benefit them here since the Bucks have also been terrible on the defensive end this season and the Pacers will have no trouble trying to keep up with points in this game. This is a game that is going to go right down to the wire since the Pacers have the offense to keep up with the Bucks and have been really motivated throughout this tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, December 7, 2023 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 135 Bucks 132.

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Indiana Pacers: 15-8 ATS after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 11-5 ATS after a game being outrebounded by an opponent by 15 or more. 16-3 OVER in all games. 15-3 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 10-1 OVER after playing a home game.

Milwaukee Bucks: 7-12 ATS when playing on a neutral court. 16-25 ATS after scoring 136 points or more. 14-7 OVER in all games. 13-6 OVER as a favorite. 8-2 OVER after playing a home game. 8-3 OVER after 4 or more consecutive overs.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Smith (PF) Ques Thurs - Heel.

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Ques Thurs - Ankle. J. Crowder (SF) Mid Jan - Groin.

“It means the world to me to represent Indiana and this organization. I don't even know if it was as much about what was at stake, as what they did to us the last time. I think that (51-point loss) left a bad taste in our mouths." - Tyrese Haliburton after their win against the Celtics in their game on Monday.

“Tonight was a huge step. We wanted to get to Vegas but when we get to Vegas we’ve got to take care of business. We've got two games to win there. I thought tonight our team was the better team. Our bench was terrific and I thought the crowd was terrific. It had all the makings of a playoff game.” - Adrian Griffin after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Tuesday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Buddy Hield

SF Bruce Brown

PF Obi Toppin

C Myles Turner

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Khris Middleton

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: T. Haliburton (26.9)

APG: T. Haliburton (11.9)

Reb/G: M. Turner (7.9)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.2)

APG: D. Lillard (6.9)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (10.7)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Adrian Griffin (1st season)