Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/13/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 12, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +7.5, Cavaliers -7.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +8, Cavaliers -8; Over/Under:  230 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +7.5, Cavaliers -7.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  64-18 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  8-2 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 21 while Myles Turner and Obi Toppin each were next on the team with 20 points. T. J. McConnell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.7% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 42-46-3 this season and their O/U record is 49-40-2.



The Cavaliers are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 34-7 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 21 while Isaac Okoro was next on the team with 13 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Max Strus and Tristan Thompson each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 42.9% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 52-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 57-33.


Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Cavaliers and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. The Pacers are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Pacers took a 3-1 series lead with a 129-109 win over the Cavaliers in the 4th game of this series and now the Pacers are going on the road in game 5 with a chance to end the series. The Pacers have already won both road games in this series as they got out to a 2-0 series lead to start, but this is going to be a desperate situation for the Cavaliers at home. The Cavaliers responded in game 3 after losing 2 home games in a row, but they were once again outplayed in game 4. They have shown that they can handle the Pacers in this series though as they do have a crushing win over them and even one of their losses was a game that they were leading by double digits. The Cavaliers are going to have a response of their own at home as they face elimination and they are going to throw everything they have at the Pacers in this game. The Cavaliers haven't been at their best in this series so far, but they will bring their best effort here to keep their season alive. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 13, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 124 Pacers 111.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 4-10 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 0-3 ATS in the 5th game of a playoff series. 4-10 ATS on the road off a win against a division rival. 59-35 OVER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-3 OVER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 

Cleveland Cavaliers: 8-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 47-29 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 28-19 1H ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 23-15 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 28-14 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“We haven’t done anything yet. We’re going to keep approaching this like we have everything to prove. We know people don’t believe in us, so we’re just going to stay in the fight and keep fighting.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.


“Complete domination by them. They dominated us in every facet of the game.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith
PF Pascal Siakam
C Myles Turner

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Max Strus
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)
APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (24)
APG: D. Garland (6.7)
Reb/G: J. Allen (9.7)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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