Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 6, 2025

Venue:  State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  FDSSE

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers -2, Hawks +2; Over/Under:  246.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers -2, Hawks +2; Over/Under:  246.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers -2, Hawks +2; Over/Under:  246.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  35-25 (3rd place, Central Division)

Atlanta Hawks:  28-34 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Hawks:  4-6 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 35-25 record overall this season and they are 15-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Houston Rockets. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 28 while Pascal Siakam was next on the team with 18 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Andrew Nembhard led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 51.2% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 30-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 31-27-2.

The Hawks are entering this game with a 28-34 record overall this season and they are 13-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Milwaukee Bucks. Trae Young led the team in points in that game with 28 while Caris LeVert was next on the team with 21 points. Trae Young led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Onyeka Okongwu and Dyson Daniels each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.5% from the field, 39% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.7 PPG against them. The Hawks have an ATS record of 29-33 this season and their O/U record is 37-25.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 35-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a great road team with their 15-15 road record, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. Meanwhile, the Hawks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 28-34 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East, but that record still has them in a play-in game for the playoffs. They haven't even looked that good on their home court though with their 13-16 home record this season. They are coming off a loss to the Bucks in their last one and they haven't looked that great lately either as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Pacers have looked a lot better coming into this one as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are starting to build some momentum with 2 wins in a row now. They are coming off a good win over the Rockets in their last one and even though they have struggled more in their road games this season, they have been able to beat up on the bad teams which is what they are getting here. The Hawks may still be in the playoff race as they are in a spot for the play-in tournament, but they haven't been playing like a playoff team all year. The Pacers are starting to roll now and they can take advantage of how inconsistent the Hawks have been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Hawks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 6, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Pacers 134 Hawks 126.

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Indiana Pacers: 5-2 ATS on the road versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 42-34 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 28-19 OVER against Southeast division opponents. 12-7 OVER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 

Atlanta Hawks: 15-23 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 20-39 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 72-44 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent. 23-14 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SF) Day To Day - Wrist. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Atlanta Hawks:  L. Nance (PF) Out - Knee. V. Krejčí (PG) Out - Back. J. Johnson (SF) Out For Season - Shoulder. K. Bufkin (SG) Out For Season - Shoulder.

“They’re so big and so athletic, there’s at times, only so much you can do. But we hung in there. Myles Turner was phenomenal in the last six minutes of the game. He controlled the rim, Alperun Sengun has an unconventional way of playing, and he uses his body well, but Myles adjusted as the game went on.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Tuesday.

“None of us knew until right before tipoff. He was here early. It kind of surprised us but we still had a game to go play. It sucks we couldn't get him the win.” - Trae Young on Quin Snyder missing their loss to the Bucks on Tuesday with an illness.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Trae Young

SG Dyson Daniels

SF Zaccharie Risacher 

PF Mouhamed Gueye

C Onyeka Okongwu

PPG: P. Siakam (20.6)

APG: T. Haliburton (8.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.2)

PPG: T. Young (23.6)

APG: T. Young (11.5)

Reb/G: J. Johnson (10)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Atlanta Hawks: Quin Snyder (3rd season)