Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/06/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 6, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +1, Timberwolves -1; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +1, Timberwolves -1; Over/Under:  215.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +1.5, Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Houston Rockets:  32-18 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  27-23 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Houston Rockets:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Rockets are entering this game with a 32-18 record overall this season and they are 17-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Brooklyn Nets, the New York Knicks, and the Brooklyn Nets again. Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 24 while Dillon Brooks and Reed Sheppard each were next on the team with 16 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 20. They were 41% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.6 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 29-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-23-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 27-23 record overall this season and they are 12-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Washington Wizards and the Sacramento Kings, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Chicago Bulls still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Kings, Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 30 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 22 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 45.7% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 20-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-24.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked great in their games this season with their 32-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They are a top 3 team in the West at the moment and have been a great road team this year with their 17-9 road record. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 27-23 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but they are also in the first play-in spot and right on the cusp of a true playoff spot. They haven't looked great on their home court though, going 12-12 in their home games this season. They did go to the Western Conference Finals last season, but they have taken a big step back this season. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have been the hotter team lately, but they have also lost 2 games in a row coming into this one. The Rockets haven't been any better as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and are coming into this one with 4 losses in a row now, but they have been the more consistent team all season and will be looking to bounce back here. Both teams are coming off tight losses in their last game, but the Rockets have been the more reliable team and this is a game where they can pick themselves up with the way the Timberwolves have been losing close games to bad teams lately. Look for the Rockets to bounce back in a big way here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 6, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 109 Timberwolves 106.

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Houston Rockets: 12-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 23-11 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 23-17 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 22-8 1H UNDER as a road favorite. 11-6 1H UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 16-8 1H UNDER after allowing 100 points or less.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 47-66 ATS in home games. 13-19 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 31-22 1H UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 21-13 1H UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 24-14 1H UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Houston Rockets:  T. Eason (SF) Day To Day - Leg. F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Smith (PF) Out - Hand.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Randle (PF) Out - Groin. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out - Toe.

"We talk about that all the time with high-level teams and the lower-level teams and bottom line, we're half a year into it now. Can't be an excuse, you got to come (play) every night and if we played like we did tonight, we'd lose by 40 to the other teams we just beat." - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Nets in their game on Tuesday.

“When you look at the splits, it comes down to the defense. Defensive energy is just, you know we are bottom three, five, in transition, rebounding, on-ball contain, off-ball pursuit. It’s effort categories.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Monday.

PG Amen Thompson

SG Jalen Green 

SF Jae'Sean Tate

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Naz Reid

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: J. Green (21.3)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.8)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.6)

PPG: A. Edwards (26.5)

APG: J. Randle (4.5)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.3)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)