Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/03/2024

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Houston Astros:  43-41 (2nd place, AL West)

Toronto Blue Jays:  38-46 (5th place, AL East)

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Houston Astros:  9-1 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-41 record overall and have a road record of 19-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Astros won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Arrighetti is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ronel Blanco is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-3 with a 2.49 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5.2 IP against the New York Mets.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-46 record overall and have a home record of 20-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Blue Jays lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-8 with a 4.18 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have looked terrible in their games this season with their 38-46 record overall and their 20-22 home record which has them at the bottom of the AL East. Meanwhile, the Astros haven't looked great in their games this season either with their 43-41 record overall. They just pulled themselves over .500 since they have been playing better lately, but they haven't been great in road games with their 19-22 road record. The Astros did take the 1st game of this series on Monday with a 3-1 win though, and now they will be looking to pick up another one as they are getting hot. They do have the better pitching matchup here with Blanco starting since he is 8-3 with a 2.49 ERA. The team has been great with him starting this season, winning 3 of their last 4 games. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up that many runs in his starts this season so he will be looking to bounce back against a Blue Jays lineup that has been really up and down all year. The Blue Jays have Kikuchi on the mound here and he hasn't been that consistent in his starts this season. He is 4-8 with a 4.18 ERA and the team has been losing a lot of games that he started in. They have lost their last 3 games with Kikuchi starting and he also gave up 4 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year. The Blue Jays are having a terrible season while the Astros are starting to get hot now, they can take advantage of this favorable pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

Astros Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 3, 2024 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Astros 6 Blue Jays 3.

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Houston Astros: 10-2 (+8.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 12 games. 19-8 (+12.75 units) on the runline in their last 27 games. 41-26 to the under in their last 67 games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 27-37 (-16.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 64 games. 28-40 (-20.10 units) on the runline in their last 68 games. 48-36 to the under for their team total in their last 84 games. 

Houston Astros:  J. Bloss (SP) - Shoulder. V. Caratini (C) - Hip. J. Verlander (SP) - Neck. C. Javier (SP) - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) - Shin. J. Urquidy (SP) - Forearm. O. Ortega (RP) - Elbow. J. Sousa (RP) - Shoulder. W. Murfee (SP) - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) - Elbow. L. McCullers (SP) - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Varsho (LF) - Back. Y. García (RP) - Elbow. J. Romano (RP) - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) - Elbow.

“You can have him against the ropes but he’s going to figure out a way to get people out. That’s just Bryan. He’s so good, his stuff is so explosive.” - Joe Espada on Bryan Abreu after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Monday.

“We just needed a hit in certain spots.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Monday.

A Bregman (R) 3B

J Meyers (R) CF

Y Alvarez (L) DH

Y Diaz (R) C

J Singleton (L) 1B

J Peña (R) SS

M Dubón (R) 2B

T Cabbage (L) RF

C McCormick (R) LF

B Bichette (R) SS

S Horwitz (L) 1B

J Turner (R) DH

G Springer (R) RF

D Varsho (L) LF

A Kirk (R) C

D Schneider (R) 2B

E Clement (R) 3B

K Kiermaier (L) CF

Batting Average:  César Salazar (.357)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (103)

Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (19)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (43)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (13)

Wins:  Ronel Blanco (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (13)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Orelvis Martinez (.333)

Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (96)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (13)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (50)

Stolen Bases:  George Springer (9)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (7)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Brandon Eisert (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)