Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2024

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, July 2, 2024

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Blue Jays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Houston Astros:  42-41 (2nd place, AL West)

Toronto Blue Jays:  38-45 (5th place, AL East)

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Houston Astros:  9-1 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-41 record overall and have a road record of 18-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Spencer Arrighetti is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 10 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-45 record overall and have a home record of 20-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Rookie pitcher Yariel Rodríguez is their starting pitcher on Monday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have looked terrible in their games this season with their 38-45 record overall and their 20-21 home record which has them at the bottom of the AL East. Meanwhile, the Astros haven't looked great in their games this season either with their 42-41 record overall. They just pulled themselves over .500 since they have been playing better lately, but they haven't been great in road games with their 18-22 road record. The Astros are going to have their rookie Arrighetti on the mound in this game and he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He gave up no runs in his last start and has been improving, but he is still 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA and hasn't looked as good in his road starts. The Blue Jays have been really up and down on offense lately but they have been better at home and they will be looking to get after this rookie for some runs. The Jays also have Berrios on the mound here and he has been giving them the best chance to win games this season as he leads the team in wins. He is 7-6 with a 3.38 ERA and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start as he has been one of the more consistent parts of the Blue Jays lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game. 

Astros Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 2, 2024 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Astros 4.

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Houston Astros: 10-1 (+9.55 units) on the moneyline in their last 11 games. 18-8 (+11.75 units) on the runline in their last 26 games. 42-26 to the under in their last 68 games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 26-37 (-17.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 63 games. 28-39 (-19.10 units) on the runline in their last 67 games. 48-35 to the under for their team total in their last 83 games. 

Houston Astros:  J. Bloss (SP) - Shoulder. V. Caratini (C) - Hip. J. Verlander (SP) - Neck. C. Javier (SP) - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) - Shin. J. Urquidy (SP) - Forearm. O. Ortega (RP) - Elbow. J. Sousa (RP) - Shoulder. W. Murfee (SP) - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) - Elbow. L. McCullers (SP) - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Varsho (LF) - Back. Y. García (RP) - Elbow. J. Romano (RP) - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) - Elbow.

“I never lost faith in this group. I know that we were down, but were were not out, and I’m not surprised that we are where we are at.” - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.

“They had a good game plan against me and there was a tight strike zone, too. I don’t think that helped me at all.” - Kevin Gausman after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Sunday.

J Altuve (R) 2B

A Bregman (R) 3B

Y Alvarez (L) DH

Y Diaz (R) C

J Meyers (R) CF

J Singleton (L) 1B

J Peña (R) SS

M Dubón (R) LF

T Cabbage (L) RF

I Kiner-Falefa (R) SS

S Horwitz (L) 2B

V Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

J Turner (R) DH

G Springer (R) RF

D Varsho (L) LF

D Jansen (R) C

E Clement (R) 3B

K Kiermaier (L) CF

Batting Average:  César Salazar (.357)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (103)

Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (19)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (41)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (13)

Wins:  Ronel Blanco (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (12)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Orelvis Martinez (.333)

Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (96)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (13)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (50)

Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (7)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Brandon Eisert (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)