Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 6, 2024
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: SCHN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Astros -102, Twins -118; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Astros +100, Twins -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Astros +100, Twins -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Houston Astros: 45-42 (2nd place, AL West)
Minnesota Twins: 49-38 (2nd place, AL Central)
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Houston Astros: 8-2 last 10
Minnesota Twins: 7-3 last 10
Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis
The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-42 record overall and have a road record of 21-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Shawn Dubin is their starting pitcher on Friday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-5 with a 4.07 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.
The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-38 record overall and have a home record of 25-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Pablo López is their starting pitcher on Friday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 10 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.
Astros vs Twins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-42 record overall, but they have finally pulled themselves back over .500 after a terrible start to the season and have themselves back in the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 21-23 road record though. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-38 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, right behind the Guardians in 1st place, and they have also looked good in their ballpark with their 25-17 home record. Both of these teams have great starters on the mound and both have been really hot lately, but the Astros have the slight edge here. The Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Twins are 7-3 in their last 10. The Twins are going to have Ryan on the mound and he is 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and hasn't been giving up a ton of runs lately, but the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and they haven't been great with him on the mound all season. Brown is on the mound for the Astros and he is 6-5 with a 4.07 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound lately, winning their last 4 games. Both of these offenses have been getting hot too so there will be some runs in this game, but the Astros have been slightly hotter with the better starter and bullpen in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
Astros Twins Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 6, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Twins 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Houston Astros: 33-43 (-12.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 76 games. 33-19 to the over with their team total in their last 52 games.
Minnesota Twins: 42-26 (+7.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 68 games. 9-3 (+8.70 units) on the runline in their last 12 games. 16-6 to the over in their last 22 games.
Key Injuries
Houston Astros: J. Bloss (SP) - Shoulder. V. Caratini (C) - Hip. J. Verlander (SP) - Neck. C. Javier (SP) - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) - Shin. J. Urquidy (SP) - Forearm. O. Ortega (RP) - Elbow. J. Sousa (RP) - Shoulder. W. Murfee (SP) - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) - Elbow. L. McCullers (SP) - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) - Elbow.
Minnesota Twins: C. Paddack (SP) - Arm. A. Kirilloff (LF) - Back J. Topa (RP) - Knee. B. Stewart (RP) - Shoulder. D. Duarte (RP) - Triceps. Z. Weiss (RP) - Shoulder. A. DeSclafani (SP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Our goal is to finish this first half strong and playing our best. I feel like we’re there right now. We came out here and we took care of business.” - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Thursday.
“We’re pleased. It’s July. We never, ever get too far ahead of ourselves in our game. Because anything can happen any given day. But the consistency (with) which we’re playing on both sides of the ball, I think it’s great and we need to continue to do it.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Houston Astros
J Altuve (R) 2B
A Bregman (R) 3B
Y Alvarez (L) DH
Y Diaz (R) C
J Singleton (L) 1B
J Peña (R) SS
J Loperfido (L) LF
M Dubón (R) CF
T Cabbage (L) RF
Minnesota Twins
W Castro (S) 2B
C Correa (R) SS
T Larnach (L) DH
J Miranda (R) 1B
R Jeffers (R) C
M Kepler (L) RF
M Margot (R) LF
B Lee (S) 3B
A Martin (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Houston Astros
Batting Average: César Salazar (.375)
Hits: Jose Altuve (109)
Home Runs: Kyle Tucker (19)
RBI: Yordan Alvarez (49)
Stolen Bases: Jose Altuve (13)
Wins: Ronel Blanco (8)
Saves: Josh Hader (14)
ERA: Dylan Coleman (0.00)
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average: Brooks Lee (.500)
Hits: Willi Castro (82)
Home Runs: Ryan Jeffers (14)
RBI: Ryan Jeffers (46)
Stolen Bases: Willi Castro (10)
Wins: Pablo López (8)
Saves: Jhoan Duran (13)
ERA: Josh Staumont (0.00)
Managers:
Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)