by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Oct 05, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 6, 2024
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers -3, Rams +3; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers -3, Rams +3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers -3, Rams +3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 2-2 (3rd place, NFC North)
Los Angeles Rams: 1-3 (4th place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 31-29.
Los Angeles Rams: lost their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 24-18.
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 31-29. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 32/54 passes for 389 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 51. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 139 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Quay Walker and Keisean Nixon each led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier McKinney came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Rams are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 24-18. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 224 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 1 TD. Tutu Atwell led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Christian Rozeboom led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Quentin Lake, Braden Fiske, and Michael Hoecht each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Rams Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall. Jordan Love came back last week after missing 2 games, but it didn't help the team much as they lost at home to the Vikings. They lost 31-29 but the game was not as close as the score, the Packers going down by a few TDs early in the game and eventually fighting their way back. They got off to a terrible start in Love's return, but they will be looking to bounce back here as they started to look a lot better near the end of that one. Meanwhile, the Rams have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall. They are coming off a road loss to the Bears in their last one but they have also been riddled with injuries. They have been missing a few key players in the offense and it has shown as they have struggled to put points up. Their defense hasn't been great either. The Packers will play a better game with Love back for his 2nd game in a row now and they have a lot more weapons on offense to do some damage against this Rams defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Rams Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 6, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Packers 28 Rams 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 6-11 ATS as a favorite. 5-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-10 ATS after playing a game at home. 1-6 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 11-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-2 UNDER after a loss by 6 or less points. 7-4 UNDER after playing a division game.
Los Angeles Rams: 5-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 9-5 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-2 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. 5-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: J. Ford (DL) Questionable - Calf. R. Doubs (WR) Doubtful - Personal. K. Clark (DL) Injured - Toe. J. Alexander (CB) Questionable - Groin. E. Jenkins (OL) Questionable - Knee. J. Love (QB) Injured - Knee. D. Wyatt (DL) Out - Ankle. L. Musgrave (TE) Questionable - Ankle. C. Valentine (CB) Questionable - Ankle. C. Watson (WR) Doubtful - Ankle. E. Cooper (LB) Questionable - Hip. J. Morgan (OT) Questionable - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Rams: T. White (DB) Injured - Rest. R. Havenstein (OL) Injured - Rest. A. Jackson (OL) Injured - Knee. D. Robinson (WR) Injured - Hip. C. Kupp (WR) Out - Ankle. D. Williams (DB) Injured - Hamstring. L. Murchison (DT) Out - Forearm.
Notable Quotes
“This is a humbling league at times. Credit to them. They did more than we did to win the game. We’ve got to bounce back from it. We’ve got to learn from it and get better.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
“The guys stayed in the fight. There was some good things, but there was some really uncharacteristic mistakes that we made as a team in regards to just some mental errors, where we left people free. And you can’t do that if you’re going to be a good offense and consistently execute.” - Sean McVay after his team’s loss against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Heath, Malik
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Los Angeles Rams
WR Robinson, Demarcus
WR Atwell, Tutu
WR Whittington, Jordan
TE Parkinson, Colby
QB Stafford, Matthew
RB Williams, Kyren
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (649)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (329)
Receiving: J. Reed (336)
Touchdowns: D. Wicks (3)
Los Angeles Rams
Passing: M. Stafford (978)
Rushing: K. Williams (258)
Receiving: T. Atwell (223)
Touchdowns: K. Williams (6)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)
Los Angeles Rams: Sean McVay (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
