Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2023

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Monday, December 25, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  15-14 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  21-10 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 15-14 record overall and they are 6-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Brooklyn Nets, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Boston Celtics, the Washington Wizards, and the Trail Blazers again in their last game. Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 28 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 27 points. Chris Paul led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 57.8% from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 14-15 this season and their O/U record is 17-12.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 21-10 record overall and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Toronto Raptors, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Michael Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 20 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Jamal Murray led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.3% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 14-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-19.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 21-10 record overall but the defending NBA champions are not the best team in the West right now with their record. They have still looked really good in their home games this season with their 11-2 home record and they have looked a lot better lately as they enter this game on a 4 game win streak. They have a lot of momentum on their side as they have been on a roll lately and they will be looking to continue climbing the standings in the West by putting on a show here on their home court on Christmas Day. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't looked great this season with their 15-14 record overall. They have also been on a roll lately as they enter this game on a 5 game win streak but they are also just 6-8 in their road games this season. The Warriors have been playing well lately but they have also been getting by beating up on bad teams and the Nuggets will expose them here with a big win on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, December 25, 2023 (2:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Warriors 114.

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Golden State Warriors: 18-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-3 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 12-4 ATS off 3 or more consecutive home wins. 9-4 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 25-13 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 11-2 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent. 

Denver Nuggets: 5-10 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 10-19 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 3-6 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 14-6 OVER off 3 or more consecutive road wins. 26-17 OVER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Wiggins (SF) Ques Mon - Illness. G. Payton II (PG) Early Jan - Calf. D. Green (PF) Early Jan - Suspension.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“I think over the last five games, he’s just taking better shots. And as a result, our team is more settled. We just feel like we’re operating more efficiently.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Saturday.

“That's one of the more impressive runs that I can remember in my nine years in Denver. We chart kills, and you get a kill if you get three stops in a row. To get 17 straight stops is incredible. That changed the game obviously. We came out as the aggressor and got stops." - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Saturday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Klay Thompson

PF Jonathan Kuminga 

C Kevon Looney

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: S. Curry (28.3)

APG: C. Paul (7.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (7.9)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)