Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/08/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 8, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  227.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  6-2 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  7-1 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-2 last 8

Denver Nuggets:  7-1 last 8

The Warriors are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they are 5-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 34 while Klay Thompson and Chris Paul each were next on the team with 17 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.4% from the field, 29.3% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 4-4 this season and their O/U record is 3-5.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Chicago Bulls, and the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 22 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 53.7% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 5-3 this season and their O/U record is 3-5.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good this season with their 7-1 start to the year after winning the NBA Championship last year. They have been really good in their home games with a 5-0 record there and have had a really strong home advantage going back to last season. The Warriors have also had a good start to the season themselves with their 6-2 record overall. They were terrible in their road games last season but have come out really strong this year with their 5-1 road record. As good as they have been in their road games this year, they have also played a lot of games on the road this season with only 2 home games played so far and all of that travel is going to start catching up to them here in the altitude against the best in the NBA. The Nuggets will continue to roll in this home game like they have been doing all year to teams. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 8, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 121 Warriors 111.

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Golden State Warriors: 24-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 6-3 ATS after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 12-2 OVER when playing their 4th road game in 7 days. 26-17 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 

Denver Nuggets: 19-30 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 1-5 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 6-12 ATS after scoring 130 points or more. 29-19 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 26-15 OVER after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Golden State Warriors:  None.

Denver Nuggets:  N. Jokic (C) Prob Wed - Wrist. J. Murray (SG) Out Wed - Quadricep. J. Huff (C) Out indefinitely - Ribs. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“That's been a point of emphasis for us this year -- we're really trying to attack the offensive glass. Tonight was a very successful night in that regard — we were 12 for 18 on second-chance shots and we held them to six attempts. That's probably the difference in the game.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game on Monday.

“His injury is not one- or two-game injury. That’s what I do know. This is something that will be longer than we would like.” - Michael Malone on the injury to Jamal Murray after his team’s win against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game on Monday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green 

C Kevon Looney

PG Reggie Jackson

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: S. Curry (30.9)

APG: C. Paul (7.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (8.8)

PPG: N. Jokic (28.4)

APG: N. Jokic (8.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.9)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)