Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2024

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  FSU +21, Miami-FL -21; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  FSU +21, Miami-FL -21; Over/Under:  54.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  FSU +21, Miami-FL -21; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Florida State Seminoles:  1-6 (1-5) (15th place, ACC)

Miami Hurricanes:  7-0 (3-0) (1st place, ACC)

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Florida State Seminoles:  lost their last game on the road against the Duke Blue Devils 23-16.

Miami Hurricanes:  won their last game on the road against the Louisville Cardinals 52-45.

Florida State is entering this game with a 1-6 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Duke 23-16. Brock Glenn was the starting QB and he completed 9/19 passes for 110 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Kam Davis led the team in rushing yards with 63. Ja'Khi Douglas led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Justin Cryer led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Louisville 52-45. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 319 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Damien Martinez led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. Samuel Brown led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Daryl Porter Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Simeon Barrow Jr., Rueben Bain Jr., and Akheem Mesidor each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked great in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them at the top of the ACC. They are one of the few undefeated teams left in the country and are ranked as one of the best too. Meanwhile, Florida State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-6 record overall and their 1-5 conference record which has them near the bottom of the ACC. This was a team that went undefeated last season but still missed the CFP and now they have completely collapsed this season. They are coming off a loss against Duke in their last one and they are 0-2 in their road games this season too. Miami hasn't looked their best over the last few weeks as they have been struggling more with ACC opponents, but they looked a lot better last week in their win over Louisville as they were able to keep a lead that entire game. This is also a game they are going to bring their best effort for with it being an in-state rivalry and Florida State blew Miami out in the last meeting so Miami will definitely be playing this game with revenge on their minds. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida State Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Miami-FL 45 Florida State 13.

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Florida State Seminoles: 5-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 5-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 20-14 1H OVER in all lined games. 7-4 1H OVER in road lined games. 7-3 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 

Miami Hurricanes: 12-20 ATS in all lined games. 3-9 ATS as a home favorite. 5-14 ATS against conference opponents. 1-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 20-11 OVER in all lined games. 11-6 OVER in home lined games. 7-3 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-3 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.

Florida State Seminoles:  R. Williams (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Uiagalelei (QB) Questionable - Hand. C. Frier (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. Lundy (LB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Murphy (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Lucas (RB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Hill (WR) Out - Knee.

Miami Hurricanes:  D. Brown (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“It’s unfortunate that we left plays out there and some of the mistakes that were made. I truly believe that this team was ready to go out and play at a very high level.” - Mike Norvell after his team’s loss against Duke in their last game. 

“We knew it was going to be back and forth. This is a win against a really good team.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against Louisville in their last game. 

WR Benson, Malik

WR Brown, Jalen

WR Douglas, Ja'Khi

TE Morlock, Kyle

QB Uiagalelei, DJ 

RB Williams, Roydell 

TB Toafili, Lawrance

WR Brown, Samuel 

WR George, Jacolby

WR Restrepo, Xavier 

TE Arroyo, Elijah

QB Ward, Cam 

RB Martinez, Damien

Passing: D. Uiagalelei (1065)

Rushing: L. Toafili (253)

Receiving: J. Douglas (354)

Touchdowns: R. Williams (2)

Passing: C. Ward (2538)

Rushing: D. Martinez (381)

Receiving: X. Restrepo (686)

Touchdowns: X. Restrepo (6)

Coaches:

Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (5th season)

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)