Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, May 12, 2023

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers +155, Maple Leafs -180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers +155, Maple Leafs -175; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers +150, Maple Leafs -185; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Florida Panthers:  42-32-8 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  50-21-11 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Florida Panthers:  7-3-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-4-1 last 10

The Panthers are entering this game finishing the regular season with 92 points, a 42-32-8 record overall, and they were 19-19-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one at home 2-1. Sam Reinhart scored the only goal for them in that game. Matthew Tkachuk and Sam Bennett each led the team in assists with 1 while Aleksander Barkov led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 266 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 213 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 50-21-11 record overall, and they were 27-8-6 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Florida Panthers in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-1. Mitch Marner and William Nylander each scored 1 goal in that game. Mitch Marner, Michael Bunting, and Jake McCabe each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 25 shots with 24 saves and a .960 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 279 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 222 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Panthers listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the Panthers and the Leafs for the 2nd round of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Panthers are entering this game with a 3-1 series lead after losing game 4 on their home ice when they had a chance to sweep the Leafs. The Panthers have been playing really well in the playoffs and had won 6 games in a row before losing in game 4 so they were due for a loss in these playoffs after that big run to kick out the Bruins and take a 3-0 series lead on the Leafs. The Leafs won the last game 2-1 but that was a very close win for them and they just haven't been able to break out against the Panthers. The Leafs are also dealing with injuries to their goalies now and as well as Woll played in game 4, he is still young and will start to feel the pressure in this game. The Panthers will regroup after that loss and will have a much better chance to end this series in Toronto as the pressure builds on the Leafs to try and make a comeback now that they got a win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Panthers to win this game and end the series 4-2 and on the puckline as they will keep the game within a goal even if they do lose.

Panthers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 12, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Panthers 4 Leafs 3.

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Florida Panthers: 24-13 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline vs. division opponents. 26-17 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 21-13 UNDER revenging a home loss versus opponent. 8-0 UNDER in the second round of the playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 55-36 (-11 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-22 (-17.8 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 6-3 UNDER off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival. 9-2 UNDER after 3 consecutive division games.

Florida Panthers:  R. Lomberg (LW) Mid May - Upper Body. S. Knight (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. P. Hornqvist (RW) out for season - Concussion.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  I. Samsonov (G) Ques Fri - Upper Body. M. Knies (LW) Mid May - Concussion. V. Mete (D) Mid May - Lower Body. B. McMann (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Neck. N. Robertson (LW) out for season - Shoulder.

"We lost a game today. That happens in the playoffs. We're good. We're OK. We get to play the next one. I think we're all good with that. It wasn't so fabulous a win that they're not going to let us play the next one.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Leafs in their game on Wednesday, game 4 of this series.

“I thought we were playing a really good period to that point. It really was to give our guys a breath. ... I didn't have to say much.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s win against the Panthers in their game on Wednesday, game 4 of this series.

LW Verhaeghe, Carter

C Barkov, Aleksander

RW Duclair, Anthony

LD Forsling, Gustav

RD Ekblad, Aaron

G Bobrovsky, Sergei

LW Järnkrok, Calle

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Schenn, Luke

G Woll, Joseph

Points: M. Tkachuk (109)

Goals: C. Verhaeghe (42)

Assists: M. Tkachuk (69)

GAA: A. Lyon (2.89)

Points: M. Marner (99)

Goals: W. Nylander (40)

Assists: M. Marner (69)

GAA: J. Alexander (0.00)

Coaches:

Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (1st season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (4th season)