Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 11, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 13, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Stars -115; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Stars -115; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Stars -115; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Florida Panthers:  44-17-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Dallas Stars:  40-17-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Florida Panthers:  8-2-0 last 10
Dallas Stars:  6-3-1 last 10



Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Panthers are entering this game with 92 points, a 44-17-4 record overall, and they are 23-8-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Calgary Flames in their last game, winning that one at home 5-1. Vladimir Tarasenko led the team in goals scored with 2 while Aleksander Barkov, Sam Bennett, and Kevin Stenlund each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Gustav Forsling led the team in assists with 2 while Matthew Tkachuk, Evan Rodrigues, and Carter Verhaeghe each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 35 shots with 34 saves and a .971 save percentage. Their offense has scored 217 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 153 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


The Stars are entering this game with 89 points, a 40-17-9 record overall, and they are 19-8-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-1. Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson, Radek Faksa, and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson, Matt Duchene, Esa Lindell, Mason Marchment, and Craig Smith each led the team in assists with 1 while Matt Duchene led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 25 shots with 24 saves and a .960 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 242 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 199 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Panthers vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Panthers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Panthers have looked great in their games this season with their 44-17-4 record overall which has them leading their division in the East with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also been a great road team this year with their 23-8-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Stars have also looked really good in their games this season with their 40-17-9 record overall which has them leading their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also looked great on home ice with their 19-8-4 home record this year. The Stars have a ton of momentum right now with their 5 wins in a row, but they are only 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. The Panthers don't have as much momentum behind them right now as they are coming off a win in their last one but they have been the hotter team lately with their 8-2-0 record in their last 10 games. The Panthers also have one of the best defenses in the NHL this season with the number of goals they have been giving up and that is a big edge on the Stars who have been giving up a ton of goals over the last 2 weeks. The Panthers also have the pressure on them from the Bruins being 1 point behind in the standings so they are going to be motivated to bring their best effort here and get back on a big winning streak. The best way to place a bet here is on the Panthers to win this game. 

Panthers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 13, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Panthers 4 Stars 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Florida Panthers: 44-21 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-16 (+9.7 units) on the moneyline off a home win by 2 goals or more. 30-13 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 39-23 UNDER in all games. 23-15 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 11-3 UNDER after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. 

Dallas Stars: 11-15 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 3-8 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 75-69 (-15.2 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 22-13 UNDER off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more. 50-27 UNDER after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games. 

Key Injuries


Florida Panthers:  A. Ekblad (D) Late March - Lower Body. E. Rodrigues (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body.

Dallas Stars:  T. Seguin (C) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. E. Dadonov (RW) Late March - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“Going in, we knew it wouldn’t be easy for us. It didn’t look like we had a lot in the tank and they played hard. I think we kind of matched that. It was even, and we would like to be better than even at home, and then they got the break at the end that we hadn’t earlier, so we can get some rest and come back for the next one.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Flyers in their game on Thursday.


“We wanted to end the trip right. We wanted this to be the best game of the trip. We knew it would have to be considering the opponent, and I thought we put in a great effort." - Peter DeBoer after his team’s win against the LA Kings in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Florida Panthers
LW Tarasenko, Vladimir
C Barkov, Aleksander
RW Reinhart, Sam
LD Forsling, Gustav
RD Ekblad, Aaron
G Bobrovsky, Sergei

Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Wedgewood, Scott

Statistical Leaders


Florida Panthers
Points: S. Reinhart (76)
Goals: S. Reinhart (45)
Assists: M. Tkachuk (51)
GAA: A.Stolarz (2.02)

Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (65)
Goals: R. Hintz (26)
Assists: J. Robertson (43)
GAA: S. Wedgewood (2.89)

Coaches:
Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (2nd season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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